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It depends on currency and demand. I think their is a greater chance right now for good upside than more downside. The dollar will weaken and price will go up. I think their might be 10% downside in some of the grand complications if you truly buy at traded price not AD prices. The downside will only happen if Asia doesn't bounce back and the dollar strengthens more. Once the US stops their fiscal stimulation and buying of treasuries the dollar will weaken.
It is not a US question. It is a global market question.
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