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Personally I would base my decision on condition - there are a lot of relatively recent watches that have been knocked around and some much older examples that have been well cared for and serviced. I would particularly look at the condition of the bezel which is prone to getting marked on the Explorer and the case/bracelet to make sure there are no major dings or deep scratches (light marks can be easily removed at service). I would also factor in the cost of a service by Rolex. Finally it is nice to have an example with box and papers as this will add to the history of the watch, particularly if you plan on handing it down to your son. I find old service papers/receipts etc fascinating......but then I don't get out much!!
Good luck with your search.
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