Quote:
Originally Posted by Laszlo
Very useful data but it is hindsight data. If perhaps coronavirus modeling is correct, if 40- to-70% over the next 12- to 18-months worldwide become infected, and we use WHO’s global deathrate of 3.4%, where exactly does that put the numbers in comparison to the seasonal flu? Then segment out the other layer of 25% hospitalizations, where does that put the support system? When coronavirus has hindsight data, only then can we compare it to the seasonal flu. Does anyone here want to do the math? Then reduce it by 50%?
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Was listening to a Joe Rogan podcast. His guest was Michael Olsterholm, who is an infectious disease researcher with the University of Minnesota. This guy knows his stuff. His forecast in the U.S. is 90 million infections, 48 million hospitalizations, and 480,000 fatalities.