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i think its best to look at incidence, test rates, positivity and death rates on the princess ship
likely an older cohort with high levels of exposure
death rate was only 1%
far lower than death rate for expected age matched group quoted elsewhere
main problem is we dont know the true value of the denominator to determine death rate
the usa has 300 plus confirmed and 6 deaths but i suspect the true number of infected people is now in the multiple of tens of thousands
my gut feeling is most cases will be mild and un/underdetected, most of us will get it and the death rate will be marginally worse than a severe flu outbreak
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