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Old 19 March 2020, 01:52 AM   #2601
Star Ferry
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Join Date: Aug 2015
Location: down by the river
Posts: 4,926
Quote:
Originally Posted by 77T View Post
Closing things down is to flatten the curve of new infections. This helps our healthcare system cope with the numbers. By itself, isolation doesn’t change mortality rates.



The mortality rate is not affected in the near term. Reducing it will depend upon medical interventions through better therapies and in the long-run engineering an effective vaccine.


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we'll have to disagree. Sick people without healthcare have worse outcomes than sick people with healthcare. To the extent that the wave moves above that dashed line representing max capacity, I can't imagine a plausible reason why the mortality rate wouldn't go up. It already happened in Italy. Isolation could save lives, albeit indirectly, even if the same number are ultimately infected
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