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Old 21 March 2020, 04:59 AM   #3025
Jojoshop
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2018
Real Name: Jim
Location: LA
Watch: BLNR
Posts: 492
Number of confirmed cases means nothing. It is more reflective of increase capacity to conduct testing.
A more accurate number is count of similar influenza cases ( confirmed not to be influenza) reported by hospitals. Same symptoms as influenza but tested negative for influenza A and B, those are more likely COVID19 patients.
It seems based on this approach baseline scenario is worse and it will overwhelm hospital in the next few days.
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