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Old 25 March 2020, 10:24 PM   #3808
Fleetlord
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Join Date: May 2013
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Quote:
Originally Posted by statsman View Post
So, most of the developed economies are practicing social distancing, hobbling their economies. It is time to start thinking- what if it doesn’t work? What if the curve doesn’t flatten?

(History, not politics) in the US Great Depression, FDR was elected in 1932 to pull the country out of it. His weapon of choice was a command economy. It didn’t work. So, he tried more command economy, and even more. It never worked. This is why a global depression was a Great Depression in the US. Sometimes, the tools the experts all agree on using don’t work, and you have to figure out what will.

The WSJ had an article noting that Chines say social distancing in wuhan was not the key to halting it, that there were still too many infra-family infections. They say the key was the building of dormitories with enforced quarantine for all positive tests, even those with no symptoms or mild symptoms. The Koreans (with more carrot and less stick) did similar.

Just a thought as we obsess on the curve. And, of course, without adequate and timely testing, there are no plans that can be executed.
I don’t think the Chinese methods would be very palatable in the west.

We are struggling to get complete compliance with soft requests...I’m not sure how our society would take forced quarantine that included allegations of welding apartment doors shut for 2weeks...if you make it great, if not oh well..
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