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Old 4 April 2020, 07:34 AM   #5047
Phooi
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2019
Location: California
Posts: 880
Quote:
Originally Posted by mountainjogger View Post
Doc:

1. How does an overwhelmed medical system impact odds of surviving if you need supportive care, not just extreme medical attention like a ventilator.

2. After the first wave of a virus hits, like it has in China, how does this impact the likelihood of transmission if people return to work and practice social distancing, masks and hand washing. That is to say, with less potential carriers are the odds of a second repeat wave this serious diminished?

3. If you do not flatten the curve, does this impact the odds of a first responder dying?

Thanks Joey.

Stay safe.
1. Hospital in CA have suspended all elective procedures in preparation of the expected surge of covid cases. This is certainly the case in the hardest hit areas and will be the reality elsewhere once the virus spreads into more states. Unless you have something immediately life threatening, you are going to wait. That’s what people who keep wanting to stop sheltering don’t get, the hospitals are overwhelmed. If we open it up, people will die, not because of covid but from lack of available care.

2. Assuming we get this virus under control, that means the rate of infection drops below 1. For example, if the infection rate is 0.5, then 10 people will only infect 5. Those 5 infects 2.5 and so on. At that point, we can open things up but with all the existing precautions of social distancing, masks, hand washing in place. But things can start to open.

In theory, as a society, we will be more prepared for a second wave. Hopefully, masks, ventilators and testing will be widely available since we just went through this. Hospitals will know how to treat covid patients Better. Maybe we will have some treatments available. If and when the second, third wave hits, people would just know better what to do - wear masks, hand washing, distancing, check our temps, etc.

3. Yes because 1) that person is answering more calls for the virus and 2) they will experience a larger viral load than a normal person. Look at all the fatalities in Italy of health workers. Not all of them are old. Many of them are outside the age criteria yet they still got it and died.
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