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Sorry OP, glad you were not harmed, but how many times does this need to happen?!
After another TRF member was robbed about a month ago in same area as OP(Berkeley) I reached out to a buddy of mine works who for San Leandro PD, which is in the county where this occurred, he is assigned to the major crimes task force in Alameda County...this is not irregular! As of a month ago there was at least 7 active, open watch theft cases dating back to last summer within the county, all with the same MO. Given the details of each case they believe it to be the work of a robbery crew that is not only targeting luxury watches but high end electronics and cameras.
Do not meet people face to face unless you are doing so at a Police station only. With the shelter in place order in effect and most Police station lobbies closed to the public, consider holding onto your watch if meeting a random stranger face to face at a local coffee shop is your only option.
Be safe, it is not worth losing your watch...or your life.
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