Quote:
Originally Posted by hcivic91
Statsman : I’d like your read of the evidence. In previous posts I’ve stated that even with bending the curve 60% still need to get the virus before it begins to go away. Social distancing does not change that percentage just delays it. It feels to me like the whole world views social distancing as a cure meaning it will make the bug go away. Seems like your thinking may be heading in the 60% direction?
As a mathematician, I’d point those interested to the ‘mathematical modeling of infectious disease.’ The first equation on the page implies that with an R-0 of ~2.5, 60% need antibodies before herd immunity kicks in.
Others like to weigh in?
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What you say is true. But, due to the seriousness of the crisis, my focus has shifted to the two nations that had real outbreaks and got them under control, without 60% of their population getting infected. If that is an available path, I think we should look into it (preferring the more liberal ROK approach).