You are correct about the 15500 and 15400; they wear very big for what is suppose to be an elegant sports watch. I sold my 15400 for that reason and enjoy my 15300 so much more.
My choice would be a 39mm Royal Oak so that leaves the Jumbo or the 15300 (preowned).
You have a nice collection so I would not settle. Only get the 15450 if you like it on your wrist.
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