[Patton250]

Originally Posted by uscmatt99

Paul I think the toughest thing when interpreting the numbers is that we don't have a good handle on the current numerator or denominator. Let's say there were 8600 people who contracted the virus 2 weeks ago and are now symptomatic. How many people did they interact with while actively shedding virus during that period? It can take a long time to go from 1-2 cases to 50 cases. But it could take a similar time duration to go from 50 to 2500 depending on how many previously unexposed people interact with the virus.

Word has definitely gotten out in my area. Everyone is keeping calm, no hysteria or anything. But I've never seen so many people in Target with soap and cleaning wipes in history, let alone the masses of people asking where the hand sanitizer is.... Well it's all out of stock in our entire region of Michigan, and can't be ordered online. Fortunately a lot of people here stock up on food during the winter as a precaution anyway.

We all have different risk tolerance. I called up my family and gave them a list of stuff to get in case they need to hunker down and avoid leaving their homes for a 2-3 week stretch. I hope they never need it, but will be glad they have it if they find themselves in an empty store-shelf situation in the coming weeks, or if local outbreaks reveal themselves in that time.

Let’s look at this seriously for a second. Would hunkering down in your house for 2 to 3 weeks save you from getting this virus? It wouldn’t keep you from getting the flu. The only way to never get this virus or any virus will be to stay in your house forever. That would be pretty much guaranteed so long as you didn’t allow family members who went outside to come visit you.