It's crazy how quickly the market has changed on the 15202. I walked into the boutique in HK in March 2017, negotiated a token discount with a whole bunch of gifts and walked away as I thought it was overpaying. Then in July 2017, they remembered my visit and pulled out a brand new one from the back. I bought it shortly after at full MSRP with only a token gift. Now I'm told even they've closed their waitlists on this reference.
I personally would wait it out for this one - it's worth the wait and I get the sense that the 15450 will be a compromise and second fiddle for you, and you'll still yearn for the 15202 afterwards.
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