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Old 17 March 2020, 06:59 AM   #2247
seslwr
"TRF" Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Real Name: Chris
Location: Connecticut
Posts: 29
Quote:
Originally Posted by daveathall View Post
A document has just been released and being reported on Sky News that a good case estimate of the deaths from the virus in the UK is 250,000.

I'm in shock.
Might be a bit high, but it depends on a lot of factors. The most important of which is whether or not the healthcare system gets overrun. How well a country’s healthcare system operates during crisis will be the difference between a 4% and a 0.5% death rate. Based on the UK’s population and an infection rate of 30%, 250,000 deaths would represent 1.25% of those infected. If the UK does better, that number can go down to 100,000. Keep in mind, the UK has nearly 11.5 million people who are over the age of 65.
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