View Single Post
Old 14 March 2020, 06:10 PM   #1955
alphadweller
"TRF" Member
 
alphadweller's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2019
Real Name: Vic
Location: Spain
Watch: SD43
Posts: 5,908
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheVTCGuy View Post
There are 8 confirmed cases in my hometown of San Diego (county wide). Out of a population of over two MILLION. So... roughly saying, the odds are around 250,000 to 1 of contracting this virus... even less of suffering long term health problems and even less of dying from it.

I don’t see what the panic is about.
Exponential progression. What we've observed in Italy and Spain is the number of people infected was doubling every three days. That means 8 cases become 8,000 in a month and 8 million in two months if no containment measures are taken at the beginning of the outbreak.
alphadweller is offline