Short List: Tudor vs. AP/Panerai/RL

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So I had narrowed down my short list to two watches, the NOS (new old stock) Audemars Gstaad Chronograph and the Ralph Lauren Automotive Chronometer but then Tudor threw a wench into my decisionmaking by releasing the Black Bay Black Bezel last month and while I was pondering those three choices, a NOS PAM338 (I have a 6.3" circumference wrist so the 42mm Radiomir works for me) suddenly became available!


So my short list grew from two watches to FOUR!!! Arrrrgh!!!

Please help, which of these four watches do you think matches the leather duffel bag in the photo? I carry the leather duffel bag with me everywhere because its my company's signature item.