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Old 24 January 2018, 06:06 AM   #1
ap1
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Crystal Ball

Gents,

lil birdie just told me something juicy. Usd

5711 - 29k
5712 - 40k

You heard it here first.
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Old 24 January 2018, 06:07 AM   #2
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Lol - second I guess
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Old 24 January 2018, 07:21 AM   #3
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What does that mean? Price increase from AD?
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Old 24 January 2018, 07:59 AM   #4
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What does that mean? Price increase from AD?
Yes sir
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Old 24 January 2018, 09:25 AM   #5
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At what point do people just start buying the precious metal 5711 or 5712 instead? I have a 5712 in steel and if it was $40k when I bought it I would have probably passed and just have bought the white gold version.
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Old 24 January 2018, 09:27 AM   #6
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I think we’re near that SS vs PM crossover point now
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Old 24 January 2018, 09:43 AM   #7
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What are the USD price increases in %? Are they the same?

In a rough Pound translation it is more like 10%.
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Old 24 January 2018, 09:44 AM   #8
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At what point do people just start buying the precious metal 5711 or 5712 instead? I have a 5712 in steel and if it was $40k when I bought it I would have probably passed and just have bought the white gold version.
I'm sure the gold models will have a price rise too, they will need to maintain an official delta between them.
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Old 24 January 2018, 09:48 AM   #9
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I'm sure the gold models will have a price rise too, they will need to maintain an official delta between them.
Agree with this, and also what I've heard from my AD, although he said that was not yet confirmed by the Mother Ship.
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Old 24 January 2018, 10:14 AM   #10
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We will see. I hope not though
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Old 24 January 2018, 11:46 AM   #11
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If this price increase happens, it will be interesting to see what AP will do with the 15202. Demand for this piece is pretty high right now.
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Old 24 January 2018, 11:53 AM   #12
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If this price increase happens, it will be interesting to see what AP will do with the 15202. Demand for this piece is pretty high right now.
Agree, very interesting, I'm sure they want people thinking of these as direct competitors so I suspect a move.
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Old 24 January 2018, 11:58 AM   #13
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If this price increase happens, it will be interesting to see what AP will do with the 15202. Demand for this piece is pretty high right now.
I would have thought that the pricing of these two would have some more correlation. In the massive run-up of 5711 prices, the 15202 did see its demand and market prices increase, but nowhere near as crazy as the 5711.

Now with the delta widening between the two, it may encourage a further run on the 15202, and demand/prices go up again.
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Old 24 January 2018, 01:08 PM   #14
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If this price increase happens, it will be interesting to see what AP will do with the 15202. Demand for this piece is pretty high right now.
I should have kept mine.
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Old 24 January 2018, 01:15 PM   #15
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I should have kept mine.
LOL. Me too!
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Old 24 January 2018, 01:34 PM   #16
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^ 3
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Old 24 January 2018, 01:47 PM   #17
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I should have kept mine.
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LOL. Me too!
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^ 3
Yeah well I have a 15202 but I sold my 5711 white for 20 grand! TWENTY
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Old 24 January 2018, 02:16 PM   #18
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Yeah well I have a 15202 but I sold my 5711 white for 20 grand! TWENTY
It’s enough to drive you mad.
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Old 25 January 2018, 12:28 AM   #19
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Yeah well I have a 15202 but I sold my 5711 white for 20 grand! TWENTY
Sadly my white 11 experienced a similar fate
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Old 25 January 2018, 12:59 AM   #20
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Sadly my white 11 experienced a similar fate
Feels good not to be alone
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Old 25 January 2018, 01:20 AM   #21
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Yeah well I have a 15202 but I sold my 5711 white for 20 grand! TWENTY
I sold my blue dialed 15300 years ago for $6,250. No I am not missing a digit here.
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Old 25 January 2018, 01:34 AM   #22
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Welcome to the commiseration thread. Our version of AA.

My name is X and I sold a Nautilus for XXX...
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Old 25 January 2018, 02:09 AM   #23
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Welcome to the commiseration thread. Our version of AA.

My name is X and I sold a Nautilus for XXX...
Yea, most of us who have been in the WIS game long enough will have stories of losing money with certain pieces.
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Old 25 January 2018, 03:18 AM   #24
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Gents,

lil birdie just told me something juicy. Usd

5711 - 29k
5712 - 40k

You heard it here first.
I wonder if this will actually have a negative effect on the resale value of at least the 5712. Here's my thought process. Right now, it's $33,000, but people can't get it so they go to grey market. Prices rise and they end up spending $40,000+ because they "have to have it." But if retail is $40,000, a lot of buyers won't want it in the first place because it is out of their price-range so demand for buying new will decrease which will make it more available from an AD. As a result, secondary market prices will fall because no one would buy used if you can buy it new for the same or less money. As a result, the secondary market prices drop from $40,000+ to $37,000ish to account for a small discount for being used rather than new.

Of course, if the demand remains the same for a new 5712, then the secondary market will obviously approach $50,000ish.

Any thoughts on how the price increase would affect re-sale value given my thoughts above?
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Old 25 January 2018, 03:26 AM   #25
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I'm sure the gold models will have a price rise too, they will need to maintain an official delta between them.
If Patek was smart, it would discontinue the PM models of the 5712 on a strap and offer them will full gold bracelets like the 5711 in PM. That would help justify the price difference between PM and SS. The biggest issue with the pricing between the two is that most people, including me, prefer the 5712A to the 5712R or 5712G because a Nautilus should be on a bracelet not a strap.

I also think that if they raise the price of the 5711 without raising the price of the 5167, that the re-sale value of 5167s is going to skyrocket. Say what you want about iconic, etc., the main reason the 5711 is so popular is because it is one of the least expensive Patek's you can buy. If you price it above the Calatravas, and $8k above the 5167, its popularity--over time--will likely decrease.
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Old 25 January 2018, 03:27 AM   #26
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What are the alternatives? If you want a steel or entry prices Patek, then you’re going to pay. I’d be shocked if the 5167a price wasn’t increased as well. So if you want a Patek, you’re now going to pay $30k to get into the game. That’s assuming supply is still limited and discounting is non-existent.
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Old 25 January 2018, 08:17 AM   #27
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If Patek was smart, it would discontinue the PM models of the 5712 on a strap and offer them will full gold bracelets like the 5711 in PM. That would help justify the price difference between PM and SS. The biggest issue with the pricing between the two is that most people, including me, prefer the 5712A to the 5712R or 5712G because a Nautilus should be on a bracelet not a strap.

I also think that if they raise the price of the 5711 without raising the price of the 5167, that the re-sale value of 5167s is going to skyrocket. Say what you want about iconic, etc., the main reason the 5711 is so popular is because it is one of the least expensive Patek's you can buy. If you price it above the Calatravas, and $8k above the 5167, its popularity--over time--will likely decrease.
I think the 5712 in gold is a great idea, and the recent wave of popularity for the 5712a makes this more likely than the 5726.

I think all Nauts and Aquas will have a price rise, maybe at different levels.
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