the Coronavirus outbreak thread

[brandrea]

Originally Posted by superdog

Watching MSNBC right now. 2,042 total right now in the US.

I don’t recall what it was when I went to sleep, but I’m pretty certain it wasn’t that far away. High 1900’s if I recall.

The link I sent shows the number 2229 so far in the US.

[djgallo]

Originally Posted by 77T

I know this pandemic has had terrible outcomes for hundreds of thousands of people globally. This can create stress among those who’ve yet to be touched by the disease itself, but are being harmed other ways: economically, socially, school closures, employment, etc.

But please don’t let that stress cause you to slip into demonizing political units or their people or other member’s fairly stated opinions.

That isn’t going to end well for you or the thread. I’m only saying it for the sake of keeping the thread open.

Now, this isn’t the only thread if you find yourself unable to resist. I found 13 other coronavirus threads in the Open Discussion section if you want to run the table with the Mods...

They cover varied related topics like:
Worried
Cruises
Breakthroughs
Self Quarantining
Safe Shopping
TP Shortages
Hitting Home
Asian Markets
Christmas Lights (I’m guilty)
Empty Planes
Spring Breakers
Immune System
Business Owners

Please don’t take my post as pointing a finger at anyone in particular. In the time I was composing it, 6 posts were made that I haven’t even seen.

Seems like Sunday’s see a ramp-up. Maybe the morning after a night with Johnny Walker Wisdom makes our imaginations run wild.



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro

You have a great way of keeping everyone focused....in a respectable way.

[superdog]

Originally Posted by brandrea

It’s closer to 4% worldwide and closer to 1.8% mortality rate in the US.

What’s scary is the rate in other countries such as Italy. If the medical system becomes overwhelmed ... then it’s a much bigger problem IMO.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Agree brother. And that’s certainly concerning.

[brandrea]

Originally Posted by RWH

The mortality rate isn't as high because we still have over 120k people who hasn't recovered. They will not all make it unfortunately

The same could be said everywhere, so all we have to go on are the actual stats. In Italy it’s closer to 11%.

[Patton250]

Originally Posted by brandrea

It’s closer to 4% worldwide and closer to 1.8% mortality rate in the US.

What’s scary is the rate in other countries such as Italy. If the medical system becomes overwhelmed ... then it’s a much bigger problem IMO.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

You do know that the top medical people say as soon as we understand how many people have actually had this virus with antibody testing that the death rate is going to be well below 1% right? I just want to make sure everybody understands that. When we start throwing the 4% number around that is absolutely catastrophic. 1.8% it’s not much better.

[Prettythings]

Originally Posted by superdog

Watching MSNBC right now. 2,042 total right now in the US.

I don’t recall what it was when I went to sleep, but I’m pretty certain it wasn’t that far away. High 1900’s if I recall.

Yesterday's tally....

[superdog]

Originally Posted by brandrea

The link I sent shows the number 2229 so far in the US.

Also part of the problem.

Endless misinformation out there. Hard to know exactly what to believe.

People push their own agenda. Based on their own perspective. Based on how it effects them. Of course, myself included.

[superdog]

Originally Posted by Prettythings

Yesterday's tally....

Understood. But we were talking about the US in that specific instance.

[brandrea]

Originally Posted by superdog

Also part of the problem.

Endless misinformation out there. Hard to know exactly what to believe.

People push their own agenda. Based on their own perspective. Based on how it effects them. Of course, myself included.

Fair point Seth Trying to sight a reliable source here and certainly not to fear monger or push any agenda, but rather to inform.

[Prettythings]

Originally Posted by superdog

Understood. But we were talking about the US in that specific instance.

It says 525 yesterday in the US 3,516 globally. Sorry if I am missing something. This source tends to be comprehensive, data driven and unbiased.

[superdog]

Originally Posted by brandrea

Fair point Seth Trying to sight a reliable source here and certainly not to fear monger or push any agenda, but rather to inform.

Agree.

[superdog]

Originally Posted by Prettythings

It says 525 yesterday in the US 3,516 globally. Sorry if I am missing something.

Nope. That would be me missing something. In this instance.

[NinoToronto]

What’s everyone’s prediction on how long this will go on for?.... praying for just 3-4 months

[joeychitwood]

Originally Posted by Gaijin

Nobody would fault you if you don't go back. I know your history as an ER doc and a LEO. You're a hero either way.

Thank you, but I’m no hero. Based on my personal communications with emergency medicine and EMS colleagues, I’m very anxious about possibly going back to help. Imagine things getting bad enough that they want a dain-bramaged ER doc helping. But I’m not sure I could close my eyes at night and think that I refused to assist during this time. I hope it doesn’t come to that.

Originally Posted by dimag333

If you all truly believe the sky is falling and this is the worst thing the country or world has ever seen, what the hell are you doing posting on a luxury watch forum?

I became a physician in 1982. I’m not saying the Coronavirus pandemic is the worst thing we’ve ever seen. I’m just saying that it’s the worst infectious disease outbreak I personally have seen or heard of. The fact that EMS, fire, police and hospital workers are getting sick, that some of them are dying trying to help others bothers me greatly.

In a time of social isolation, I’ve reached out to friends on TRF, personal friends in my hometown, family, colleagues and even strangers who have contacted me on social media. I didn’t think it was so unusual. Steve, believe whatever you want about the world situation.

[Patton250]

Originally Posted by joeychitwood

Thank you, but I’m no hero. Based on my personal communications with emergency medicine and EMS colleagues, I’m very anxious about possibly going back to help. Imagine things getting bad enough that they want a dain-bramaged ER doc helping. But I’m not sure I could close my eyes at night and think that I refused to assist during this time. I hope it doesn’t come to that.

I became a physician in 1982. I’m not saying the Coronavirus pandemic is the worst thing we’ve ever seen. I’m just saying that it’s the worst infectious disease outbreak I have seen or heard of. The fact that EMS, fire, police and hospital workers are getting sick, that some of them are dying trying to help others bothers me greatly.

In a time of social isolation, I’ve reached out to friends on TRF, personal friends in my hometown, family, colleagues and even strangers who have contacted me on social media. I didn’t think it was so unusual. Steve, believe whatever you want about the world situation.

I can tell you this Joey. As soon as this is all over I’m gonna find a couple of doctors and nurses and buy them dinner at Ruth’s Chris steak House.

[NinoToronto]

Originally Posted by Patton250

I can tell you this Joey. As soon as this is all over I’m gonna find a couple of doctors and nurses and buy them dinner at Ruth’s Chris steak House.

I’ll split the bill with you on that one

[904VT]

Originally Posted by Fleetlord

Climate too.

The weather conditions from 50N L to 30N L are an absolute tinderbox for virus transmissions. Cool temps with low humidity.

Most of the Conus lies between these latitudes. Spain, N Italy...NYC, Iran...etc

All the hotspots are in this zone...there are clearly a lot more cities in there that won’t consistently warm up for another 8weeks or so. Watchout.

New Orleans and Florida would organically be in better shape, but the influx of tourists for Mardi Gras and Spring Break screwed it up. But it’s getting hot in Florida so let’s see what happens.

Not seeing wildfire spread in Mexico and Latin America...yet, so maybe the heat is helping interfere with transmission?

Mother nature’s coming summer fever in the norther hemisphere might be what it takes to put this down for long enough for us to prepare for wave 2.

Fleeord always insightful comments

Very true that the UV can kill off the virus under some conditions and humidity makes the aerosols drop from the air quicker from being heavier than in dry air.
I think Southern California too has been much lower than initially expected, so I’m hopeful the Summer can at least help us prepare and buy some time for Fall.

[joeychitwood]

Originally Posted by Patton250

I can tell you this Joey. As soon as this is all over I’m gonna find a couple of doctors and nurses and buy them dinner at Ruth’s Chris steak House.

That is a spectacular idea! And I’m going to find a way to thank the rest of the people who have proven to be essential to our ability to wait this out.

[superdog]

Originally Posted by joeychitwood

That is a spectacular idea! And I’m going to find a way to thank the rest of the people who have proven to be essential to our ability to wait this out.

That’s an important reminder.

Trash collectors, law enforcement, utility provides, truckers and definitely can’t forget the heroes at the supermarkets.

They are crushing it. All of them.

So grateful.

[statsman]

Originally Posted by superdog

There is just over 2,000 dead in the US.

How is that 400 per day?

Math. Bell curve. I keep a daily spreadsheet and from 5pm CST March 27 to 5pm CST March 28, about 450 died in the US from Covid-19. One week earlier, it was 55 deaths in 24 hours. Two weeks earlier it was 7.

[904VT]

Originally Posted by mountainjogger

There are 10 stranded cruise ships that cannot find a port which will permit them to disembark passengers.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...turn-them-away

In humanitarian terms, I sympathize with the passengers. But I shuddered when cruise lines offered massive discounts and people kept going. And I have to ask, what were these people thinking, and what were the cruise lines thinking when they carried on as business as usual?

Stay safe.

Absolutely. The passengers were thinking we can’t lose money on this vacation we already paid for and/or can’t pass up this discount. And the cruise lines were thinking we need all the revenue we can get before we’re forced to shutdown. Pretty sad all around.

[brandrea]

I just got off the phone with my parents and their best friends who vacation in Florida every year just returned from vacation two weeks ago.

One of them had tested positive for the virus on Friday and is now at St Mary’s hospital here in the intensive care unit.

[watchmework]

Originally Posted by brandrea

I just got off the phone with my parents and their best friends who vacation in Florida every year just returned from vacation two weeks ago.

One of them had tested positive for the virus on Friday and is now at St Mary’s hospital here in the intensive care unit.

I'm sorry to hear about this Brian, it's terrible that folks went down to Florida for a nice vacation and ended up contracting this virus...I hope they are able to make a swift recovery, sending positive vibes!

[superdog]

Originally Posted by brandrea

I just got off the phone with my parents and their best friends who vacation in Florida every year just returned from vacation two weeks ago.

One of them had tested positive for the virus on Friday and is now at St Mary’s hospital here in the intensive care unit.

I’m sorry to hear brother.

Best wishes.

I’m fearful these types of posts are going to be common going forward.

This will effect all of us somehow.

It’s truly, now more than ever, a time for compassion. Regardless of ones opinions

[brandrea]

Originally Posted by watchmework

I'm sorry to hear about this Brian, it's terrible that folks went down to Florida for a nice vacation and ended up contracting this virus...I hope they are able to make a swift recovery, sending positive vibes!

Much appreciated my friend

Originally Posted by superdog

I’m sorry to hear brother.

Best wishes.

I’m fearful these types of posts are going to be common going forward.

This will effect all of us somehow.

It’s truly, now more than ever, a time for compassion. Regardless of ones opinions

Absolutely my friend and thank you. God speed to you, yours and everyone else.

[RW16610]

Oh no, I'm very sorry to hear that as well, Brian. Best wishes from me too.

[JasoninDenver]

Originally Posted by Patton250

I can tell you this Joey. As soon as this is all over I’m gonna find a couple of doctors and nurses and buy them dinner at Ruth’s Chris steak House.

You and I view this issue from opposite ends but I have really appreciated your analysis and the respectful way you have presented your opinions.

I hope that we can all soon participate in that celebratory steak dinner.

[joeychitwood]

Originally Posted by brandrea

I just got off the phone with my parents and their best friends who vacation in Florida every year just returned from vacation two weeks ago. One of them had tested positive for the virus on Friday and is now at St Mary’s hospital here in the intensive care unit.

Hoping for the best, Brian.

[Letsgodiving]

In an interview this morning Dr. Fauci said he would guess (based on the modeling) that there would be between 100,000-200,000 deaths in the US from Covid-19 and millions of cases. He stated there was a wide range in the modeling and that it would probably land somewhere in the middle and that seemed to be where he came up with these numbers.

But he added “I don't want to be held to that” because the pandemic is “such a moving target.”

[superdog]

Originally Posted by Letsgodiving

In an interview this morning Dr. Fauci said he would guess (based on the modeling) that there would be between 100,000-200,000 deaths in the US from Covid-19 and millions of cases. He stated there was a wide range in the modeling and that it would probably land somewhere in the middle and that seemed to be where he came up with these numbers.

But he added “I don't want to be held to that” because the pandemic is “such a moving target.”

Encouraging based on last weeks predictions of nearly 2,000,000.