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23 March 2020, 10:43 PM | #271 |
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^ deaths globally are increasing indeed as per this link:
https://ncov2019.live/ Three days ago, that number was only in the 11,000. Now it is already 15,000+ |
23 March 2020, 11:22 PM | #272 | |
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The only evidence we have that this can be controlled is with the strict Chinese regime, but these measures cannot be replicated in the USA. Sorry but it's frightening hearing this from someone in a country about to be severely hit by this virus. Please stay safe! |
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23 March 2020, 11:28 PM | #273 |
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Age 0 to 50, your chance is higher dying in an automobile than contracting the virus then die. I dont see people giving up their cars and start walking
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23 March 2020, 11:36 PM | #274 | |
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Multiply this by the number of hospitals. Huge logistical problem. Some won't be given assistance, priority goes to those with better chance of survival like in wartime... No masks, no respirators. Wake up. |
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23 March 2020, 11:42 PM | #275 | |
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You can be safe and adhere to guidelines without losing your mind. |
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23 March 2020, 11:42 PM | #276 | |
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Statistic is statistic. This is based on wuhan death rate. So if someone died because not enough ICU it is part of the stats. Over 80% dont even need to go to hospital and wuhan population most people have bad lungs and smokers. Heart disease kill a crap more than this virus, but it is ok because people like to eat and not excercise.
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23 March 2020, 11:48 PM | #277 | |
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multiplicative risks are not equal to additive risks the probabillity of someone dying from automobile accident is fairly constant, or the probability that this goes to 5x next year is pretty low. same cannot be said for coronavirus. apparently the former is subject to the chernoff bound. or as taleb says "naive empiricism" or "dont be an intellectual yet idiot" |
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23 March 2020, 11:51 PM | #278 | |
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So I’ll just simply say: this nonchalant attitude is part of the problem that still exists in the west. Sleep well knowing it could potentially lead to the death of another human being. It’s not exaggerating it’s the truth. I honestly can’t believe there’s people walking around comparing car accidents to a respiratory virus that is growing exponentially, really? |
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23 March 2020, 11:54 PM | #279 | |
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This is all about the healthcare system being able to treat an unprecedented amount of patients. Comparing death rates and stats to anything else is just completely pointless. The modern world has never seen anything like this. |
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24 March 2020, 12:30 AM | #280 |
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It's quite saddening to see people not grasping the severity of this issue and downplaying it. Do you guys not see what is happening in Europe right now? Maybe the American news channels don't show it, I'm not sure.
Anyways, I will be checking out of this thread now since we are off topic. Good luck to all and stay safe during this Corona issue. Let's check back in a few months and see how this has affected Rolex supply and prices. Cheers |
24 March 2020, 01:09 AM | #281 |
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Anyone have any thoughts about what they think is going to happen to vintage Sub and GMT prices?
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24 March 2020, 01:11 AM | #282 | |
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SS Sports Models Coming back to MSRP
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I think they’ll hold pretty steady. They may dip slightly just because everything is taking a dip. But what is saving the vintage market is they aren’t in production any more. There’s only a set amount available and that’s that. The 6 digit in production references are going to see a huge correction. Those are the ones I’d be worried about if I was sitting on a a huge inventory of Pepsis and Hulks. |
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24 March 2020, 01:26 AM | #283 | |
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24 March 2020, 01:40 AM | #284 | |
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The United States has been able to get away with a lot in the name of public health, for better or for worse (so far, it's been for the better). Though the government hasn't really flexed its legal muscle yet (most likely due to a polarized election year), it certainly has the ability to go harder on its people than it does now. As for the original topic of this thread: in one of the closed dealer groups I lurk in, BLROs are in the $16K range, up $1K from before the lockdown.
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24 March 2020, 02:10 AM | #285 | |
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24 March 2020, 02:25 AM | #286 | |
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24 March 2020, 02:39 AM | #287 | |
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Remember, hospitals are swamped, no ventilators, no masks, no beds, health professionals getting infected and falling sick. |
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24 March 2020, 03:11 AM | #288 |
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The world as we it is about to change...
for better or worse only TIME will tell...... |
24 March 2020, 03:41 AM | #289 |
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I didn't say Rolex will become Patek. I said Rolex is heading to Patek prices.
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24 March 2020, 04:37 AM | #290 |
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Really? I wonder how many Rolexes are flying off the shelves in Italy, China, both large markets. The pandemic is just starting in the US, turn on the tv.
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24 March 2020, 04:45 AM | #291 | |
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Quote:
The virus is accelerating. "It took 67 days from the first reported case to reach the first 100,000 cases. Eleven days for the second 100,000 and just four days for the third 100,000," he said. |
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24 March 2020, 04:57 AM | #292 |
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With the as ever strong CHF, I see Rolex (retail) prices only go up; a lot of larger currencies lost 20 % + in this year alone against the Swissie.
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24 March 2020, 04:59 AM | #293 |
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I seriously think that if things don’t improve in 30-45 days the last problem ANYONE is going to care about is the price of SS Rolex.
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24 March 2020, 05:52 AM | #294 |
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24 March 2020, 06:10 AM | #295 |
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War, epidemics, and natural disasters are just a part of life and if Rolex prices dropping upsets you, a “perspective” adjustment might be a good idea.
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24 March 2020, 06:17 AM | #296 |
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As a picture or report of the reality of life now of “Flyover country”. Life is almost completely unchanged despite what the media is painting.
We live rural on a large property in a rural area. Other than county buildings closed and the kids off school, you would never know anything is even going on. Daily living is almost completely unaffected. Livestock gets fed, fields get prepared for planting, etc.. Social distancing is/was a everyday part of life so you would literally have to go into town to commingle. USPS, UPS, Fed Ex is running on schedule. Hardware, gas stations, Big-box stores are open. Grocery stores are open and supplied very well. No one is hoarding or losing their minds as these salt of the earth people seem to have a better bead on the larger picture. These are self reliant people to the point we have backup generators and a large pantry supply of food. (Snowstorms can knock power out for a week). They are also thrifty and conservative with their finances. Large populations of panicking people are far more dangerous. Sometimes it might be better for some to leave the TV/New off for a few days as it tends to consume those that have a low risk threshold. Since some are off work, we have had a overwhelming support system though our church to deliver food and groceries to our elderly and meals to the kids off school that we had to turn away volunteers. Patience builds character. This too shall pass. |
24 March 2020, 06:37 AM | #297 |
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Why wouldn’t watch prices come down? Everything else is.
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24 March 2020, 06:47 AM | #298 |
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Careful what you wish for. It comes with a package.
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24 March 2020, 06:49 AM | #299 |
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24 March 2020, 10:51 AM | #300 | |
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Quote:
I see people consumed by the news when it’s so often competing opinions and narratives, and they’re addicted. Causes nothing but cycles of angst. If you’re plugged into your local community, and aware of facts you need to know from reliable sources, just please unplug the media which thrives on the negative. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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pandemic , rolex |
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