What’s the next watch u are buying from PP?

[Aquaman]

Originally Posted by MrBigSmiles

Thoughts on the 5235r? For the price,I’d rather wait for a 5712a.


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Actually great watch and someone made it easy for me to read the time, use your phone lol,

.

[wisguy]

So many on the wishlist...

5212A
5196G
5296G
6006G
5167A
....

Clearly more than I can afford, but dreaming is free.

[Bearxj86]

I'm waiting on a 5167a - I hope that is what I get.

[Toffeeman]

Love to have 5524 to complement my 5146. Is 5524 dress?

[chmhill]

I already got a sports watch so I would like to get a dress watch.

[JorgeCCW]

Originally Posted by gb-man

none i am done buying patek for now

+ 1

[tng11]

Originally Posted by GB-man

none I am done buying patek for now

+2 not until this whole craze goes away. Not interested in buying 5 figure boat anchors.

[mps354]

Just picked up a vintage Patek dress watch...probably nothing for a while now

[Fat_ninja]

Really surprise with the results 50/50. That said. 50/50 is still clearly over producing dress watches and under producing sports models....

[Fat_ninja]

Originally Posted by tng11

+2 not until this whole craze goes away. Not interested in buying 5 figure boat anchors.

+3 ;)

[d11n]

Originally Posted by Fat_ninja

Really surprise with the results 50/50. That said. 50/50 is still clearly over producing dress watches and under producing sports models....

Poll is fun to see, but...

I am not so sure our forum demographic mirrors the demographic of the global market Patek annually sells $1.5 billion into.

[locutus49]

Even though I hated it when it first came out, the aquanaut is growing on me. Not that I need another watch. But still...

[TJMike]

If I buy another Patek, it will be a dress watch. Their sports watches do nothing for me. But my next watch will be a sports watch; an Overseas.

[zahain]

Once you get the sports Patek's it's only onwards towards dress pieces if you have the means. Probably going to be adding a 5271p,5070p,6102p and maybe few others. Dont really see them as dress pieces as you can switch the strap up and i never wear suits or do any dress oriented events. Plus no one is going to tell you what to wear or ask you why you're wearing a dress piece with some jeans

[GB-man]

.

[ap1]

Waiting on sports, also want 5205 and 5212 but I need to stick to the order to keep AD honest

[Ichiran]

Originally Posted by ap1

Waiting on sports, also want 5205 and 5212 but I need to stick to the order to keep AD honest

Approved!

[WatchLurv]

Sports. Im done with dress after I got the 5205G. No thanks.

A 5711/1R is a dress watch too. Slides so well under the sleeves.

[Fat_ninja]

Originally Posted by d11n

Poll is fun to see, but...

I am not so sure our forum demographic mirrors the demographic of the global market Patek annually sells $1.5 billion into.

I don’t know if I agree with that. Most correlations only require a small subset of data. This is probably as good of a sample set as one can get. ..this forum has a collection of guys/gals that really follow PP and the watch market.

The absolute forecast may not be 100% but the direction of travel and magnitude of the change in % should correlate well

Some smart math guy can probably help me out here.

[Calatrava r]

On the list for the weekly calendar. If that counts as a "dress" watch.

[Calatrava r]

Originally Posted by TJMike

If I buy another Patek, it will be a dress watch. Their sports watches do nothing for me. But my next watch will be a sports watch; an Overseas.

Great choice. The interchangeable straps is also a big plus on this very smart looking watch.

[Calatrava r]

Originally Posted by Fat_ninja

Really surprise with the results 50/50. That said. 50/50 is still clearly over producing dress watches and under producing sports models....

No doubt about that, The PM dress market watch market is very soft at the moment and I really do not see that trend changing, anytime soon, with the move to casual and more robust all activity water-resistant watches. This can be seen with the aftermarket used retail pricing on many PP dress models. It is sure a "buy and keep for the next generation" market on dress watches at the moment. Truth in advertising. LOL

[pam66]

Originally Posted by Fat_ninja

I don’t know if I agree with that. Most correlations only require a small subset of data. This is probably as good of a sample set as one can get. ..this forum has a collection of guys/gals that really follow PP and the watch market.

The absolute forecast may not be 100% but the direction of travel and magnitude of the change in % should correlate well

Some smart math guy can probably help me out here.

the standard deviation is unknown here... meaning the sample here is not random but totally biased. watch nerds....i believe there is quite a few PP buyers around who just buy one PP watch or who just buy the PP watch their AD recommends them. those are not sampled here. if you restrict the market to 'informed buyers' then the confidence level here is very high, i'd say 90% or so.

[d11n]

Originally Posted by Fat_ninja

I don’t know if I agree with that. Most correlations only require a small subset of data. This is probably as good of a sample set as one can get. ..this forum has a collection of guys/gals that really follow PP and the watch market.

The absolute forecast may not be 100% but the direction of travel and magnitude of the change in % should correlate well

Some smart math guy can probably help me out here.

My view from my original answer was that the fine folks on this forum don't represent a global sample but instead a smart informed group with bias...some factors like the forum being in English, being the Rolex forum, and a group of collectors that buy multiple pieces... was part of my why.

Your point about the math is a good point too.

Assuming a confidence level of 95% and confidence interval (margin of error) of say 5%. If we guessed that Patek had 45,000 unique buyers each year (I guessed 60,000 pieces and then accounted for buyers of multiple pieces) then the sample size would need to be ~380

[TJMike]

Originally Posted by Calatrava r

Great choice. The interchangeable straps is also a big plus on this very smart looking watch.

[Flex368]

If I buy another PP it´s gonna be a dress watch.

[kijoe]

Dress watch much more likely for me.


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[scrappy]

5227R. My collection is saturated with sports Pateks so it's time to change it up.

[pam66]

Originally Posted by d11n

My view from my original answer was that the fine folks on this forum don't represent a global sample but instead a smart informed group with bias...some factors like the forum being in English, being the Rolex forum, and a group of collectors that buy multiple pieces... was part of my why.

Your point about the math is a good point too.

Assuming a confidence level of 95% and confidence interval (margin of error) of say 5%. If we guessed that Patek had 45,000 unique buyers each year (I guessed 60,000 pieces and then accounted for buyers of multiple pieces) then the sample size would need to be ~380

see my posting

[vandyologist]

My next is a 5524g. I guess that’s a dress watch?