the Coronavirus outbreak thread

[904VT]

Originally Posted by Silvio_86

The point is that if you get it... 20% is the chance you need to stay in hospital.... 5% you need automated breathing system and oxygen.... this is the drama.... health system here in italy, as worldwide, has a limited number of beds with such instruments... so hundredths of people every day adding is not good... and then you need the machinery for at least 1 month. That's the point... Anyway still alive here in Maranello ... no virus and no fever :)

Very glad to hear you are still in good health and safe. Maranello is beautiful.

Originally Posted by Fredrik

That is not the picture I have. So far in Italy all dead were older than 65 with most of them older than 85. The younger you are, the more likely you will have mild to no symptoms, so far no one under the age of 10 has died. If you have severe health issues or smoke, then you need to be careful.

This is the opposite of the Spanish flu which mostly killed the young. It will most likely not have a large impact other than causing unneeded panic everywhere including the markets in my opinion.

Let's just ride it out until spring, the warmer weather will help a lot since winter is optimal for spreading of this type of virus. Just make sure your older relatives stay reasonably isolated if possible.

There are some doctor accounts coming from Italy that say that is a misconception and young are being impacted as well and very sick in some cases. We know that cigarette smoking will complicate matters regardless of age. I do know that cigarette smoking is still very prevalent with younger Italians.

The Spanish Flu had what experts assume to be 3 waves or variations (if not 2). First was a very mild strain (in Spanish Flu terms) that came ~ Early Fall 1918 and which hit mostly the elderly. The Later Fall into Early Spring 1919 began to see a much more aggressive strain that greatly impacted young adults ages 18 to 40 and caused significant deaths as a result. Followed by what was another wave of mild cases in later Spring 1919. It's quite possible that wave 1 and 2 were two different strains and wave 3 was a reemergence of wave 1 strain rather than a new one all together.

Regardless, we can't assume SARS-COV-2 won't continue to evolve beyond it's currently projected Strain L and S. And we can't assume then that this will only impact elderly and poor health. There is already some evidence that latter is not true.