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#1891 |
2023 ROLEX EXPLORER 40 Pledge Member
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Way Up North USA
Watch: Rolexes & Tudors
Posts: 6,300
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I wish I could be as certain as you, but I guess practicing emergency medicine for almost 30 years has jaded my optimism.
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#1892 | |
2023 Rolex DAYTONA Pledge Member
Join Date: Oct 2018
Real Name: RJ
Location: Hawaii
Watch: this
Posts: 1,124
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Quote:
A week or so ago, Mrs Yoda's friend "Jane" drove her mom to the airport for a flight to Philippines. Jane's mom would be staying just outside of Manila. Mrs Yoda warned Jane, but Jane said she didn't want to pay the airline cancellation fee. What? Mrs Yoda was like, ![]() But Jane blew it off. Then Manila got locked down on March 12. Mrs Yoda isn't the type of person to say "I told you so." But everybody in their friend group is thinking it. Anyway, praying for Jane's mom. |
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#1893 | |
Banned
Join Date: Mar 2018
Location: New Zealand
Watch: 114060
Posts: 2,630
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Quote:
![]() I would consider a shutdown a blessing compared to the alternative. |
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#1894 | |
2023 Rolex DAYTONA Pledge Member
Join Date: Oct 2018
Real Name: RJ
Location: Hawaii
Watch: this
Posts: 1,124
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Quote:
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#1895 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Jul 2018
Location: UK
Posts: 732
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But the point is that there is no asteroid in sight, but 60% is a realistic prediction of how many people could catch the virus, unless we take preparations
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#1896 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Feb 2018
Location: LA
Watch: RLX, ALS
Posts: 3,410
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I heard something very similar today through the grapevine (conversation involving a union that supports various "transportation" companies).
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#1897 |
TRF Moderator & 2023 EXPLORER 40 Patron
Join Date: Dec 2007
Real Name: Connor MacLeod
Location: Glenfinnan
Watch: Yes
Posts: 62,814
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Ok all I am going to re-open this thread but take notice of this final warning. If I have to clean up one more political post the thread closes and the member goes no questions asked.
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SPEM SUCCESSUS ALIT |
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#1898 | |
2023 ROLEX EXPLORER 40 x2 Pledge Member
Join Date: Dec 2010
Real Name: PaulG
Location: Georgia
Posts: 39,807
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the Coronavirus outbreak thread
Quote:
Ken Thanks and I believe people sometimes can’t help themselves - but you’re right to take the actions needed to keep up TRF’s standards. ![]() Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro
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Does anyone really know what time it is? |
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#1899 |
Banned
Join Date: Aug 2017
Real Name: John
Location: Van By The River
Posts: 1,326
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#1900 | |
2023 ROLEX EXPLORER 40 Pledge Member
Join Date: Oct 2011
Real Name: Seth
Location: nj
Watch: Omega
Posts: 24,454
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Quote:
Thank you. Truly it’s a great thread for the current climate. Glad it’s open again. Thank you.
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If happiness is a state of mind, why look anywhere else for it? IG: gsmotorclub IG: thesawcollection (Both mostly just car stuff) |
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#1901 | |
2023 Pledge Member
Join Date: Aug 2010
Real Name: H
Location: North Carolina
Watch: M99230B-0008
Posts: 5,647
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Quote:
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#1902 |
Banned
Join Date: Jul 2008
Real Name: Paul
Location: San Diego
Watch: 126619LB
Posts: 21,548
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There are 8 confirmed cases in my hometown of San Diego (county wide). Out of a population of over two MILLION. So... roughly saying, the odds are around 250,000 to 1 of contracting this virus... even less of suffering long term health problems and even less of dying from it.
I don’t see what the panic is about. |
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#1903 | |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: May 2015
Location: Northern Ontario
Watch: 19018N OQ
Posts: 848
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Quote:
My thoughts. ![]() |
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#1904 | |
2023 Pledge Member
Join Date: Aug 2010
Real Name: H
Location: North Carolina
Watch: M99230B-0008
Posts: 5,647
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Quote:
Understand your view Paul and I agree that panic is a bad thing. But an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure, and is not in my opinion panic. As far as the odds, I do not agree with you. Every geographic outbreak starts with a low number. Let's hope Sand Diego stays at 8 but the odds are against it. Last check, WHO said each person infects 2-3. So, if not checked 8 infect 16-24. The issue is trying to slow these numbers so our health system can handle those that need care. I read an quote from a doctor today that used the following analogy: You can put out a kitchen fire with a fire extinguisher. When the whole house is on fire, it is another matter. Looks like the medical profession agrees that the only way to keep this from being a house fire is strong efforts of containment. Every epidemiologist at a major institution that I have heard discuss this, has said the same thing. They could all be wrong, but they may be correct. Stay safe Paul. ![]()
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#1905 |
2023 Pledge Member
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: swmnpoolsmovie*
Posts: 8,682
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My understanding the “deep concern” mode from a medical standpoint is that the severe usually elderly victims will need to be hospitalized and the fact that there are not/will not be enough ventilators to handle a major outbreak.
Lots of finger pointing about that is going on but that is the bottom line for the medical community. So containment is the order of the day. In China a large part of the male population smoked and perhaps Italy as well. But lung issues seem to be the main victims. |
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#1906 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Feb 2018
Location: LA
Watch: RLX, ALS
Posts: 3,410
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#1907 |
Banned
Join Date: Aug 2017
Real Name: John
Location: Van By The River
Posts: 1,326
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#1908 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Feb 2018
Location: LA
Watch: RLX, ALS
Posts: 3,410
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#1909 |
2023 ROLEX EXPLORER 40 x2 Pledge Member
Join Date: Jun 2013
Real Name: Tom
Location: Mandeville La
Watch: 16610M
Posts: 10,214
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Just be safe and diligent everyone, stay the F home if feeling bad till you know ... by June, possibly, much ado about nothing
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#1910 | |
2023 ROLEX EXPLORER 40 x2 Pledge Member
Join Date: Jun 2013
Real Name: Tom
Location: Mandeville La
Watch: 16610M
Posts: 10,214
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Quote:
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#1911 | |
Banned
Join Date: Jul 2008
Real Name: Paul
Location: San Diego
Watch: 126619LB
Posts: 21,548
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Quote:
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#1912 | |
Banned
Join Date: Aug 2017
Real Name: John
Location: Van By The River
Posts: 1,326
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Quote:
On a side note he tells me there is plenty of toilet paper in the dorms ![]() |
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#1913 | |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: Marietta, GA
Posts: 3,227
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Quote:
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#1914 | ||
2023 Rolex DAYTONA Pledge Member
Join Date: Oct 2018
Real Name: RJ
Location: Hawaii
Watch: this
Posts: 1,124
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Quote:
Regarding age, Italy is the most top-heavy country in Europe in terms of aged people. (source: https://www.livescience.com/why-ital...s-so-high.html) The median age for those that died in Italy is 81 (as of March 11). (source: https://www.thelocal.it/20200311/cor...ctims-in-italy) Quote:
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#1915 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Jul 2017
Location: California
Watch: Shiny One
Posts: 5,276
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#1916 |
Banned
Join Date: Aug 2015
Location: down by the river
Posts: 4,926
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Had to cancel an international trip (to a lower risk country) planned for tomorrow. Too risky for my parents, especially my dad who has several health conditions.
Fortunately, was able to reschedule my booking to August at no cost. I did take a domestic flight out of O'Hare this morning, and things seemed orderly there. It was busier than I expected it to be. |
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#1917 |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: CA, USA
Watch: Out!!!
Posts: 6,316
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#1918 | |
Banned
Join Date: Aug 2017
Real Name: John
Location: Van By The River
Posts: 1,326
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Quote:
![]() Hang in there, ultimately I still hope we will hear some stories of this bringing out the best in people. |
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#1919 | |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: May 2013
Location: Vain
Posts: 5,765
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Quote:
![]() I’m sure there are pockets of actual really real freak out, but overall most people are handling the situation itself pretty well. |
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#1920 | |
"TRF" Member
Join Date: Aug 2015
Real Name: DM
Location: USA
Watch: DD-YG/DJ/Breitling
Posts: 8,752
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Quote:
Bananas display, March 13, 2020 1600 ET No panic. .
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. People of integrity expect to be believed and when they are not they let time prove them right. A best friend is like a four leaf clover - hard to find and lucky to have. SJP |
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