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10 November 2023, 12:12 AM | #31 |
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I also agree if you have to have this watch, just buy one wherever you can find one at the best possible price. If you are going to spend a lot of money on stuff from an AD, anyway, being on the list for this watch and getting it is just an added bonus. To deliberately spend a lot of money on things you do not really want just to get this watch at retail and wait however long, makes no sense.
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10 November 2023, 03:12 AM | #32 |
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From experience, a genuine and good friendly relationship with the sales manager of the AD is very important and is what I believe gets you in line.
However, your spend history is what the AD owner likely needs to see to authorize the sales manager to release the watch to you when it finally arrives in the store. This is what happened with my Daytona earlier this year. The sales manager went to bat for me for almost a whole week. |
10 November 2023, 04:12 AM | #33 |
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True, and depends on your relationship with the AD. I think at least 6 figures spend for most people.
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10 November 2023, 05:22 AM | #34 |
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I got a few Daytonas from the AD, including Panda, my advise to you would be if you don’t have a good relationship with management, buy grey
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10 November 2023, 05:26 AM | #35 |
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Luckily the Sky Dweller is too big for my wrist, so it's off the table for me.
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10 November 2023, 05:27 AM | #36 | |
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Quote:
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10 November 2023, 05:39 AM | #37 |
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Just buy grey and save $110k
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10 November 2023, 06:27 AM | #38 |
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It may be outdated, but there was an article (I believe BYT) that stated the general margin for ADs is 40%. So the ranges provided appear accurate.
The math also pencils to support the theory that ADs are willing to discount more on PM pieces. 100% agree on the opex comments - these ADs have expenses, which is why they benefit the most from hype as they can bundle desirable pieces with engagement rings and other jewelry at a 70-90% margin. |
10 November 2023, 06:29 AM | #39 |
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My friend told me around 100k-150k usd and 2-3 years of waiting
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10 November 2023, 07:18 AM | #40 |
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Yes! Why are people buying the equivalent of a very nicely-spec'd E-Class just for the hopes of buying a watch years in the future at retail? This, to me, is wildly insane. I'd rather pay a grey market upcharge now versus more over the years without certainty of delivery.
LOLLLLL what this is insane, man.
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10 November 2023, 08:13 AM | #41 |
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This was my experience as well. I only bought the watches that I wanted and the jewelry I was going to buy regardless. With that said, of course it’s very different depending on AD and geography so YMMV.
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10 November 2023, 08:43 AM | #42 | |
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The comment above is IMO probably the most intelligent post on this topic, and I was thinking about starting a thread on this very position given there are likely a lot of folks on the fence regarding their grail. I get it - NeVeR go gReY. And for what it's worth, you don't go "grey," you go "secondary." I thought that too when I bought my first piece from an AD who happened to have GMT IIs and Subs up to their eyeballs and Jomashop was selling them at 5% off MSRP. That said, if a watch is your grail - such as the 116500/126500, I don't see why you would risk building a purchase history (whether watches or jewelry) just to hear the AD got their license pulled, or the boutique manager left and the new one is coming from a competitor and bringing their book, i.e., the list gets "reset." Keeping in mind what is needed to MAYBE get an allocation of these watches, and unless you have an inordinate amount of discretionary capital to spend on marked up jewelry and watches, buying your grail at 2x MSRP in the grand scheme of things is arguably a better deal. |
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10 November 2023, 10:23 AM | #43 |
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50k for me, but I think I was lucky. About 6 months.
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10 November 2023, 10:21 PM | #44 | |
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Quote:
How long are you willing to schmooze with AD, to maybe get the slim chance to be privileged enough to hand them your $$$…to get a new white dial Daytona? |
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10 November 2023, 11:34 PM | #45 |
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OP Stella x2 and a Pepsi and a 36mm DJ fluted in blue sunburst dial.
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11 November 2023, 12:37 AM | #46 |
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I'd say it all depends on the AD, I wouldn't like to spend so much extra on a piece.
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12 November 2023, 12:01 PM | #47 |
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Just go grey.
The Panda goes to people they like. If you are not “in” , it won’t happen!
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12 November 2023, 12:05 PM | #48 |
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12 November 2023, 12:17 PM | #49 |
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Way more money than just going grey. My local grey had a 2023 white dial Daytona that was full set with bezel protector and card dated 3 months old for $30k. Looked nice but I’m not a Daytona fan so I passed. They have a 2022 black Daytona for $25k right now. If I really wanted one, I’d just go grey and skip the AD headache.
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12 November 2023, 01:29 PM | #50 | |
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12 November 2023, 04:10 PM | #51 |
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$40K for engagement ring (first purchase), then invited the sales lady to my wedding (keep enemies close, but keep AD sales reps closer), had panda 2 weeks after wedding but she had to go to the AD owner and beg him. I do not know the owner, he is out of state. This was Summer of 2019 when things were easier.
My advice is to go grey for any SS rolex. When you work the numbers grey is cheaper than buying stuff you dont want. That is what I did for 116520s white and black. I will go to grey for platona since 1. I will never get the call and 2. its only $30K over msrp in grey market. Will I get platona by spending $30K at an AD? No, plus you still have to actually buy the watch once it comes in decades from now. I moved to a different city in 2020. I went into the new AD to me and asked about Daytonas. The owner of the AD who is there daily told me to just buy it in grey. I read between the lines and the more I thought about it over the years, he isnt wrong. I see in the sales section on this forum that Raiders (black C Daytona) printed a $25K sale. $10K over msrp for a SS Daytona? All day long. There is a common theme with those who buy grey = "some can afford not to wait" but which is really cheaper in the long run? Consider the timing element as well.
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12 November 2023, 04:44 PM | #52 |
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There is a lot of pain in this thread.
Like others have said, just go grey. This video proves a lot of the $100K+ spend numbers. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CeS3wdW1UOU
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13 November 2023, 02:53 AM | #53 |
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20k 5 years and still waiting. Refuses to pay over retail.
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13 November 2023, 03:08 AM | #54 | |
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Well said. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
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13 November 2023, 12:56 PM | #55 | |
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Quote:
To your point about going secondary (which is really what we're talking about if being technical since 'grey' usually means no active warranty) - ALL. DAY. LONG. I regularly mention on similar threads that if a certain watch like the 116500 or platona is someone's grail and they don't plan on spending a ton on jewelry or watches they don't love, going secondary usually makes sense as the reality is that the MSRP isn't the "real" price, and the premium to go secondary is most likely a deal when taking into consideration the spend requirement. |
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13 November 2023, 02:11 PM | #56 | |
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13 November 2023, 02:23 PM | #57 | |
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What are the top 3? Panda, blue sky and Pepsi? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
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13 November 2023, 02:56 PM | #58 | |
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♛ 116689 ♛ 116500LN Blk ♛ 116500LN Wht ♛ Sky Dweller 326934-003 ♛ 126710BLNR ♛ 126710BLRO - ♛ 126610LV ♛ 16520 ♛ 16523 ♛ 16610 ♛ 5513 Birth Year - ✠ Patek Philippe 5980/1A-001 - AP 26331ST Panda - Panerai Fiddy 127, Bronzo 671, 687, 111, Ω Speedmaster 1957 Broad Arrow, Daniel Roth Endurer Chronosprint, Cartier Santos XL - ✿ Tudor Black Bay 58 Bronze M79012M, Montblanc TimeWalker Chrono 41 |
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13 November 2023, 03:48 PM | #59 |
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Last SA I asked about a Pepsi at retail told me:
Day Dates (plural) with Diamonds This was pre Covid... Cant imagine a Panda would be easier/cheaper
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