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BBL · 25 September 2022, 04:33 AM

For those in Florida and east coast USA, Hurricane Ian is forecast to possibly reach category 4 according to news here.

TRF colleagues: What are your best storm tracking (spagetti plot) websites?

Hope everyone has a nice day.

BBL ~ DM

MrGoat · 25 September 2022, 04:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BBL

For those in Florida and east coast USA, Hurricane Ian is forecast to possibly reach category 4 according to news here.

TRF colleagues: What are your best storm tracking (spagetti plot) websites?

Hope everyone has a nice day.

BBL ~ DM

I just use our local news radar and the weather channel. I feel like all of them just shake a magic 8 ball and go with that answer anyways.

Sent from my Apple privacy invasion product

enjoythemusic · 25 September 2022, 04:51 AM

It's Mother Nature, she can sometimes be quite predictable, and sometimes be the most erratic. Just be sure to have a cigar, a tasty drink, and Playlist ready....

BBL · 25 September 2022, 05:49 AM

Some of the links I access... sharing with you.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Ian

https://www.cyclocane.com/ian-spaghetti-models/

https://www.windy.com/?30.691,-80.380,6

https://www.hurricanezone.net/

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#09L

Hurricane case studies, history:
http://www.hurricanescience.org/search/?searchInput=ian

MrGoat · 25 September 2022, 06:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BBL

Some of the links I access... sharing with you.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Ian

https://www.cyclocane.com/ian-spaghetti-models/

https://www.windy.com/?30.691,-80.380,6

https://www.hurricanezone.net/

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#09L

Hurricane case studies, history:
http://www.hurricanescience.org/search/?searchInput=ian

Thank you!!

Sent from my Apple privacy invasion product

77T · 25 September 2022, 06:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BBL

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Ian

Hi D - of your list of links, this is the place I prefer since it helps to have those experienced minds deciphering the various models to come up with a high-confidence forecast.

Of course, models, forecasters, and media can get it wrong with some storms. The upper atmospheric flow and ocean conditions and pressure ridges are different for every tropical system.

I’ve got family in the Navarre area and the Tampa area and the Miami area. No matter which model turns out right, someone I love is going to get hit.

Stay safe and dry!

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro

piratepress · 26 September 2022, 10:00 AM

I do IT support for local government and the best tracking model is Hurrevac: https://www.hurrevac.com/

Also, updated playlist here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tQkqdkwFmcc

enjoythemusic · 26 September 2022, 10:04 AM

an.jpg

THC · 26 September 2022, 10:40 AM

The EURO model is the best predictor (mostly always right), being a veteran of hurricanes here in Louisiana

Slimpee · 26 September 2022, 11:37 AM

Good luck to anyone affected!

travisb · 26 September 2022, 10:49 PM

I’m prepared. Staying calm and watching the path.

travisb · 26 September 2022, 10:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by enjoythemusic

It's Mother Nature, she can sometimes be quite predictable, and sometimes be the most erratic. Just be sure to have a cigar, a tasty drink, and Playlist ready....

That’s the right outlook.

Floorguy · 27 September 2022, 01:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by travisb

I’m prepared. Staying calm and watching the path.

Same here… I’m in Parrish! Been through a lot worse on Long Island… I just make sure i have enough beer, cigars, and food for the wife and mom!!😂😂

MrGoat · 27 September 2022, 01:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Floorguy

Same here… I’m in Parrish! Been through a lot worse on Long Island… I just make sure i have enough beer, cigars, and food for the wife and mom!!

Hah, I’m in Parrish all the time.

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Floorguy · 27 September 2022, 01:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrGoat

Hah, I’m in Parrish all the time.

Sent from my Apple privacy invasion product

Always welcome!! Stop by for a cold one some day!! 👍🏻👍🏻

MrGoat · 27 September 2022, 01:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Floorguy

Always welcome!! Stop by for a cold one some day!!

East or west of 301?

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Ferdelious · 27 September 2022, 02:32 AM

Tropical Tidbits and local news are my go to.

I'm hoping for the best but doesn't look good at this point. Stay safe everyone.

wesdaniel · 27 September 2022, 02:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by THC

The EURO model is the best predictor (mostly always right), being a veteran of hurricanes here in Louisiana

Is it better than Nash Roberts?

BBL · 27 September 2022, 02:47 AM

Hello guys/gals:

Thanks for comments and humor (esp music Steven)....

Here is another link (Matt: includes tidbits) that has amalgamated most sites already mentioned.

https://www.trackthetropics.com/ian-2022/

Hoping for the best for everyone in the path

This morning's advisory is that it may drift slightly west from previously plotted.

BBL · 27 September 2022, 02:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 77T

Hi D - of your list of links, this is the place I prefer since it helps to have those experienced minds deciphering the various models to come up with a high-confidence forecast.

Of course, models, forecasters, and media can get it wrong with some storms. The upper atmospheric flow and ocean conditions and pressure ridges are different for every tropical system.

I’ve got family in the Navarre area and the Tampa area and the Miami area. No matter which model turns out right, someone I love is going to get hit.

Stay safe and dry!

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro

Hey Paul.... you may be having spontaneous family reunions in your house with everyone (you love) escaping north...

G8RDPM · 27 September 2022, 02:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BBL

Hello guys/gals:

Thanks for comments and humor (esp music Steven)....

Here is another link (Matt: includes tidbits) that has amalgamated most sites already mentioned.

https://www.trackthetropics.com/ian-2022/

Hoping for the best for everyone in the path

This morning's advisory is that it may drift slightly west from previously plotted.

Hi Daniel,
I think you will be safe. I may get some heavy rain.
Hope all is well!

BBL · 27 September 2022, 02:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by G8RDPM

Hi Daniel,
I think you will be safe. I may get some heavy rain.
Hope all is well!

Hey Doc:

Wonderful to see your moniker !! How are you?

I agree... bracing for rain torrents, worried about tornadoes - the bane of Matthew that got me good.

DM

enjoythemusic · 27 September 2022, 03:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by travisb

That’s the right outlook.

After DECADES of FL fun, this ain't my first rodeo, or second, or fifth....

And so.............

Untitled-1.jpg

BOA · 27 September 2022, 12:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by enjoythemusic

Attachment 1320943

Don't forget zip ties

enjoythemusic · 27 September 2022, 11:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BOA

Don't forget zip ties

As a native, have various lengths... and assorted colors too :)

waffle_house.jpg

enjoythemusic · 28 September 2022, 06:19 AM

Mom and dad just arrived as the State evacuated our island home. Family pic (minus wife wearing that Apple iWristThing).

1ed.jpg

Let's bring new meaning to Hurricane Watch (post your wrist pic).

.
.
.

MrGoat · 28 September 2022, 06:45 AM

Ready for 7ish ft of flood water.
And potentially being stuck in the house for a few days.

Sent from my Apple privacy invasion product

enjoythemusic · 28 September 2022, 07:05 AM

^^^ epic!!! Seriously, SOOO epic!

TNT009 · 28 September 2022, 08:37 AM

Had to leave Streamsong golf resort early this morning for the 7 hour drive to ATL. Flight at 10.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Kinnakeet · 28 September 2022, 08:42 AM

I’m as prepared as I can be. Tucked in and ready.

25 September 2022, 04:33 AM	#1
BBL "TRF" Member Join Date: Aug 2015 Real Name: DM Location: USA Watch: DD-YG/DJ/Breitling Posts: 8,795	* I.A.N. * Hurricane Ian, Sept-Oct 2022. For those in Florida and east coast USA, Hurricane Ian is forecast to possibly reach category 4 according to news here. TRF colleagues: What are your best storm tracking (spagetti plot) websites? Hope everyone has a nice day. BBL ~ DM __________________ . People of integrity expect to be believed and when they are not they let time prove them right. A best friend is like a four leaf clover - hard to find and lucky to have. SJP

25 September 2022, 04:51 AM	#3
enjoythemusic 2024 Pledge Member Join Date: Nov 2012 Real Name: Steven Location: Glocal Posts: 19,406	It's Mother Nature, she can sometimes be quite predictable, and sometimes be the most erratic. Just be sure to have a cigar, a tasty drink, and Playlist ready.... __________________ __________________ “Life should not be a journey to the grave with the intention of arriving safely in a pretty and well preserved body, but rather to skid in broadside in a cloud of smoke, thoroughly used up, totally worn out, and loudly proclaiming 'Wow! What a Ride!'” -- Hunter S. Thompson Sent from my Etch A Sketch using String Theory.

25 September 2022, 05:49 AM	#4
BBL "TRF" Member Join Date: Aug 2015 Real Name: DM Location: USA Watch: DD-YG/DJ/Breitling Posts: 8,795	Some of the links I access... sharing with you. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Ian https://www.cyclocane.com/ian-spaghetti-models/ https://www.windy.com/?30.691,-80.380,6 https://www.hurricanezone.net/ https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#09L Hurricane case studies, history: http://www.hurricanescience.org/search/?searchInput=ian __________________ . People of integrity expect to be believed and when they are not they let time prove them right. A best friend is like a four leaf clover - hard to find and lucky to have. SJP

26 September 2022, 10:04 AM	#8
enjoythemusic 2024 Pledge Member Join Date: Nov 2012 Real Name: Steven Location: Glocal Posts: 19,406	an.jpg __________________ __________________ “Life should not be a journey to the grave with the intention of arriving safely in a pretty and well preserved body, but rather to skid in broadside in a cloud of smoke, thoroughly used up, totally worn out, and loudly proclaiming 'Wow! What a Ride!'” -- Hunter S. Thompson Sent from my Etch A Sketch using String Theory.

27 September 2022, 02:32 AM	#17
Ferdelious 2024 Pledge Member Join Date: May 2013 Real Name: Matt Location: Tampa, FL Watch: Hulk/SD4K/SeaQ/P39 Posts: 3,177	Tropical Tidbits and local news are my go to. I'm hoping for the best but doesn't look good at this point. Stay safe everyone. __________________ Why is it, "A penny for your thoughts," but, "you have to put your two cents in?" Somebody's making a penny.

26 September 2022, 10:00 AM	#7
piratepress "TRF" Member Join Date: Mar 2016 Location: Mobile, AL Watch: BLNR Posts: 744	I do IT support for local government and the best tracking model is Hurrevac: https://www.hurrevac.com/ Also, updated playlist here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tQkqdkwFmcc

26 September 2022, 10:40 AM	#9
THC 2024 ROLEX DATEJUST41 Pledge Member Join Date: Jun 2013 Real Name: Tom Location: Mandeville La Watch: 16610M Posts: 10,479	The EURO model is the best predictor (mostly always right), being a veteran of hurricanes here in Louisiana

26 September 2022, 11:37 AM	#10
Slimpee 2024 Pledge Member Join Date: Jul 2020 Location: Midwest, USA Watch: DJ 41; 1803; BB Ch Posts: 1,283	Good luck to anyone affected!

26 September 2022, 10:49 PM	#11
travisb 2024 Pledge Member Join Date: Aug 2009 Real Name: Travis Location: FL / NYC Watch: Yes.. Posts: 32,192	I’m prepared. Staying calm and watching the path.

27 September 2022, 02:47 AM	#19
BBL "TRF" Member Join Date: Aug 2015 Real Name: DM Location: USA Watch: DD-YG/DJ/Breitling Posts: 8,795	Hello guys/gals: Thanks for comments and humor (esp music Steven).... Here is another link (Matt: includes tidbits) that has amalgamated most sites already mentioned. https://www.trackthetropics.com/ian-2022/ Hoping for the best for everyone in the path This morning's advisory is that it may drift slightly west from previously plotted. __________________ . People of integrity expect to be believed and when they are not they let time prove them right. A best friend is like a four leaf clover - hard to find and lucky to have. SJP

28 September 2022, 06:19 AM	#26
enjoythemusic 2024 Pledge Member Join Date: Nov 2012 Real Name: Steven Location: Glocal Posts: 19,406	Mom and dad just arrived as the State evacuated our island home. Family pic (minus wife wearing that Apple iWristThing). 1ed.jpg Let's bring new meaning to Hurricane Watch (post your wrist pic). . . . __________________ __________________ “Life should not be a journey to the grave with the intention of arriving safely in a pretty and well preserved body, but rather to skid in broadside in a cloud of smoke, thoroughly used up, totally worn out, and loudly proclaiming 'Wow! What a Ride!'” -- Hunter S. Thompson Sent from my Etch A Sketch using String Theory.

28 September 2022, 06:45 AM	#27
MrGoat 2024 Pledge Member Join Date: Jun 2020 Real Name: Goat Location: Southwest Florida Watch: 16613 Posts: 4,786	* I.A.N. * Hurricane Ian, Sept-Oct 2022. Ready for 7ish ft of flood water. And potentially being stuck in the house for a few days. Sent from my Apple privacy invasion product

28 September 2022, 07:05 AM	#28
enjoythemusic 2024 Pledge Member Join Date: Nov 2012 Real Name: Steven Location: Glocal Posts: 19,406	^^^ epic!!! Seriously, SOOO epic! __________________ __________________ “Life should not be a journey to the grave with the intention of arriving safely in a pretty and well preserved body, but rather to skid in broadside in a cloud of smoke, thoroughly used up, totally worn out, and loudly proclaiming 'Wow! What a Ride!'” -- Hunter S. Thompson Sent from my Etch A Sketch using String Theory.

28 September 2022, 08:37 AM	#29
TNT009 "TRF" Member Join Date: Dec 2019 Location: San Diego Posts: 3,110	Had to leave Streamsong golf resort early this morning for the 7 hour drive to ATL. Flight at 10. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

28 September 2022, 08:42 AM	#30
Kinnakeet "TRF" Member Join Date: Jun 2012 Real Name: Michelle Location: Canada/Florida Watch: WG Breguet Typexx Posts: 2,679	I’m as prepared as I can be. Tucked in and ready.

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