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25 September 2022, 04:33 AM | #1 |
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* I.A.N. * Hurricane Ian, Sept-Oct 2022.
For those in Florida and east coast USA, Hurricane Ian is forecast to possibly reach category 4 according to news here.
TRF colleagues: What are your best storm tracking (spagetti plot) websites? Hope everyone has a nice day. BBL ~ DM
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25 September 2022, 04:37 AM | #2 | |
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Quote:
I just use our local news radar and the weather channel. I feel like all of them just shake a magic 8 ball and go with that answer anyways. Sent from my Apple privacy invasion product |
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25 September 2022, 04:51 AM | #3 |
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It's Mother Nature, she can sometimes be quite predictable, and sometimes be the most erratic. Just be sure to have a cigar, a tasty drink, and Playlist ready....
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25 September 2022, 05:49 AM | #4 |
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Some of the links I access... sharing with you.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Ian https://www.cyclocane.com/ian-spaghetti-models/ https://www.windy.com/?30.691,-80.380,6 https://www.hurricanezone.net/ https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#09L Hurricane case studies, history: http://www.hurricanescience.org/search/?searchInput=ian
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. People of integrity expect to be believed and when they are not they let time prove them right. A best friend is like a four leaf clover - hard to find and lucky to have. SJP |
25 September 2022, 06:00 AM | #5 | |
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Thank you!! Sent from my Apple privacy invasion product |
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25 September 2022, 06:32 AM | #6 | |
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* I.A.N. * Hurricane Ian, Sept-Oct 2022.
Quote:
Hi D - of your list of links, this is the place I prefer since it helps to have those experienced minds deciphering the various models to come up with a high-confidence forecast. Of course, models, forecasters, and media can get it wrong with some storms. The upper atmospheric flow and ocean conditions and pressure ridges are different for every tropical system. I’ve got family in the Navarre area and the Tampa area and the Miami area. No matter which model turns out right, someone I love is going to get hit. Stay safe and dry! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro
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26 September 2022, 10:00 AM | #7 |
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I do IT support for local government and the best tracking model is Hurrevac: https://www.hurrevac.com/
Also, updated playlist here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tQkqdkwFmcc |
26 September 2022, 10:04 AM | #8 |
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__________________ “Life should not be a journey to the grave with the intention of arriving safely in a pretty and well preserved body, but rather to skid in broadside in a cloud of smoke, thoroughly used up, totally worn out, and loudly proclaiming 'Wow! What a Ride!'” -- Hunter S. Thompson Sent from my Etch A Sketch using String Theory. |
26 September 2022, 10:40 AM | #9 |
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The EURO model is the best predictor (mostly always right), being a veteran of hurricanes here in Louisiana
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26 September 2022, 11:37 AM | #10 |
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Good luck to anyone affected!
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26 September 2022, 10:49 PM | #11 |
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I’m prepared. Staying calm and watching the path.
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26 September 2022, 10:50 PM | #12 |
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27 September 2022, 01:00 AM | #13 |
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Same here… I’m in Parrish! Been through a lot worse on Long Island… I just make sure i have enough beer, cigars, and food for the wife and mom!!😂😂
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27 September 2022, 01:09 AM | #14 |
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27 September 2022, 01:19 AM | #15 |
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Always welcome!! Stop by for a cold one some day!! 👍🏻👍🏻
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27 September 2022, 01:49 AM | #16 |
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27 September 2022, 02:32 AM | #17 |
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Tropical Tidbits and local news are my go to.
I'm hoping for the best but doesn't look good at this point. Stay safe everyone.
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27 September 2022, 02:35 AM | #18 |
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27 September 2022, 02:47 AM | #19 |
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Hello guys/gals:
Thanks for comments and humor (esp music Steven).... Here is another link (Matt: includes tidbits) that has amalgamated most sites already mentioned. https://www.trackthetropics.com/ian-2022/ Hoping for the best for everyone in the path This morning's advisory is that it may drift slightly west from previously plotted.
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. People of integrity expect to be believed and when they are not they let time prove them right. A best friend is like a four leaf clover - hard to find and lucky to have. SJP |
27 September 2022, 02:49 AM | #20 | |
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Quote:
Hey Paul.... you may be having spontaneous family reunions in your house with everyone (you love) escaping north...
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. People of integrity expect to be believed and when they are not they let time prove them right. A best friend is like a four leaf clover - hard to find and lucky to have. SJP |
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27 September 2022, 02:51 AM | #21 | |
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I think you will be safe. I may get some heavy rain. Hope all is well! |
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27 September 2022, 02:57 AM | #22 | |
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Quote:
I agree... bracing for rain torrents, worried about tornadoes - the bane of Matthew that got me good. DM
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. People of integrity expect to be believed and when they are not they let time prove them right. A best friend is like a four leaf clover - hard to find and lucky to have. SJP |
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27 September 2022, 03:00 AM | #23 |
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After DECADES of FL fun, this ain't my first rodeo, or second, or fifth....
And so............. Untitled-1.jpg
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__________________ “Life should not be a journey to the grave with the intention of arriving safely in a pretty and well preserved body, but rather to skid in broadside in a cloud of smoke, thoroughly used up, totally worn out, and loudly proclaiming 'Wow! What a Ride!'” -- Hunter S. Thompson Sent from my Etch A Sketch using String Theory. |
27 September 2022, 12:18 PM | #24 | |
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Don't forget zip ties |
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27 September 2022, 11:16 PM | #25 |
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__________________ “Life should not be a journey to the grave with the intention of arriving safely in a pretty and well preserved body, but rather to skid in broadside in a cloud of smoke, thoroughly used up, totally worn out, and loudly proclaiming 'Wow! What a Ride!'” -- Hunter S. Thompson Sent from my Etch A Sketch using String Theory. |
28 September 2022, 06:19 AM | #26 |
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Mom and dad just arrived as the State evacuated our island home. Family pic (minus wife wearing that Apple iWristThing).
1ed.jpg Let's bring new meaning to Hurricane Watch (post your wrist pic). . . .
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__________________ “Life should not be a journey to the grave with the intention of arriving safely in a pretty and well preserved body, but rather to skid in broadside in a cloud of smoke, thoroughly used up, totally worn out, and loudly proclaiming 'Wow! What a Ride!'” -- Hunter S. Thompson Sent from my Etch A Sketch using String Theory. |
28 September 2022, 06:45 AM | #27 |
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* I.A.N. * Hurricane Ian, Sept-Oct 2022.
Ready for 7ish ft of flood water. And potentially being stuck in the house for a few days. Sent from my Apple privacy invasion product |
28 September 2022, 07:05 AM | #28 |
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^^^ epic!!! Seriously, SOOO epic!
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__________________ “Life should not be a journey to the grave with the intention of arriving safely in a pretty and well preserved body, but rather to skid in broadside in a cloud of smoke, thoroughly used up, totally worn out, and loudly proclaiming 'Wow! What a Ride!'” -- Hunter S. Thompson Sent from my Etch A Sketch using String Theory. |
28 September 2022, 08:37 AM | #29 |
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Had to leave Streamsong golf resort early this morning for the 7 hour drive to ATL. Flight at 10.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
28 September 2022, 08:42 AM | #30 |
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I’m as prepared as I can be. Tucked in and ready.
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