Talking stocks, trading, and investing in general

[jhilly8982]

Originally Posted by superdog

rough day so far.

S&P is only down 1%

[BNA/LION]

Originally Posted by superdog

rough day so far.

Originally Posted by jhilly8982

S&P is only down 1%

Maybe the worm has turned? Uncertainty and lack of stability are market killers...



The step of getting Phase III trials at HRTX is one more step toward the ultimate goal of an eventual sale of the company.
http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/hrtx/analyst-research


Stock Price Target HRTX

High: $42.00

Median: $28.00

Low: $25.00

Average: $30.70

Current Price: $15.58

[armen34]

Anybody calling for a correction??? Here we go...

I sold of majority of my holdings as soon as I heard North Korea in the news.

Bought myself some SOXS and I wish I didn't sell it so early today

[armen34]

Young investors please don't look at triple inverse etf like soxs that made ~10% in one day and jump in... it is very dangerous!

[armen34]

[QUOTE=BNALION;7821707]Maybe the worm has turned? Uncertainty and lack of stability are market killers...



The step of getting Phase III trials at HRTX is one more step toward the ultimate goal of an eventual sale of the company.
http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/hrtx/analyst-research


Stock Price Target HRTX

High: $42.00

Median: $28.00

Low: $25.00

Average: $30.70

Current Price: $15.58[/QUOTE

the worm is out!

[jhilly8982]

Originally Posted by armen34

Young investors please don't look at triple inverse etf like soxs that made ~10% in one day and jump in... it is very dangerous!

Yes, trading a short gamma levered ETF is not a good for the faint of heart.

[Carrera911]

not to sound like I'm timing the market but wouldn't it be smart to buy a little earlier than my auto investment date the mutual funds I usually buy ? Looks like the dropped 1.5% today.

[jhilly8982]

Originally Posted by Carrera911

not to sound like I'm timing the market but wouldn't it be smart to buy a little earlier than my auto investment date the mutual funds I usually buy ? Looks like the dropped 1.5% today.

I wouldn't rush to anything, with the geopolitical events things could get worse over the next few weeks.

[glenn_herwig]

I'm short aapl and long a couple commodities. We shall see.

[armen34]

Originally Posted by glenn_herwig

I'm short aapl and long a couple commodities. We shall see.

Shorting aapl is not a great idea

[walds11]

Originally Posted by armen34

the worm is out!

Pump and dump, LMFAO! Oh I remember the good old days when I used to day trade. Not anymore bros. Buy and hold for me.

[Runnin' Rebel]

Pull your money out if your in until things settle down. Guam on level one alert..
Aussies are preping to help USA incase

Good excuse for a nice correction

[glenn_herwig]

Originally Posted by Runnin' Rebel

Pull your money out if your in until things settle down. Guam on level one alert..
Aussies are preping to help USA incase

Good excuse for a nice correction

Dow Futures are up and VIX is down 15% ��

[superdog]

Relatively rough day.

I wonder how tomorrow will be.

[superdog]

Thinking about buying twitter for a long term hold.

It's relatively inexpensive and it appears to be the way our entire country communicates these days.

I don't even have an account, but I feel it can't go anywhere but up in the future. Anyone have any thoughts?

[superdog]

I realize it might not happen anytime soon. But inevitably it has to happen at some point.

I was hoping for more time to prepare. But I think I'm ready to go if this is it.

I'm actually very optimistic about a crash. I think it'll be a rough few years. But people can make money in a good economy. I think people, far far less, can get rich in a bad economy.

It'll be risky and dicey. And I'll be taking some big risks for sure. But I figure if all the redundancy I've set up fails, then we are likely all FUBAR and it won't matter so much.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/bad...of2&yptr=yahoo

[jhilly8982]

Originally Posted by superdog

I realize it might not happen anytime soon. But inevitably it has to happen at some point.

I was hoping for more time to prepare. But I think I'm ready to go if this is it.

I'm actually very optimistic about a crash. I think it'll be a rough few years. But people can make money in a good economy. I think people, far far less, can get rich in a bad economy.

It'll be risky and dicey. And I'll be taking some big risks for sure. But I figure if all the redundancy I've set up fails, then we are likely all FUBAR and it won't matter so much.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/bad...of2&yptr=yahoo

The more people and "TV experts" talk about a crash happening in the near future, the more I am inclined to believe it won't happen.

[superdog]

Originally Posted by jhilly8982

The more people and "TV experts" talk about a crash happening in the near future, the more I am inclined to believe it won't happen.

Curious as to your logic behind that?

History basically shows that it's all but guaranteed at some point.

Don't help me wrong, I do hope you are right.

[Investr]

Ill say this- I was in a small forum with a group of fellow advisors two years ago and the speaker who I consider the best fund mgr in the world (I'm purposely leaving his name out) told us a collapse was inevitable over the next 3-4 months. Also, Ive been listening to bond fund mgrs not wanting to "lock in" for the past 12 years bc rates are coming back up. Well its been 12 years and were still waiting...... My advice- if you guys dont have one already, seek out a financial advisor, interview a few, pick the one you have the most faith in AND feel you can communicate with, lastly check them out on FINRA broker check to make sure they haven't been in trouble. THEN come up with a comprehensive plan with him/her AND stick to it. That's all folks.....

[jhilly8982]

Originally Posted by superdog

Curious as to your logic behind that?

History basically shows that it's all but guaranteed at some point.

Don't help me wrong, I do hope you are right.

Are we due for a correction, sure 5%, 10%,? Probably, but I don't anticipate a 25% correction unless caused by a geo-political event or black swan.
Bull Market or Bear, those that have a plan will always make money.

Well two thoughts always cross my mind in times like these.
1. If it's in the news, it's in the price
2. Bad news is a headline while gradual improvement is not.

This is a good article:
http://www.mauldineconomics.com/the-...ntify-bubbles#

Also, I love this graphic:

[Lordofrolex]

I always like real property for my investment. Primarily in commercial NNN real estate. Own some Circle K's in AZ. Getting 5.5% on my money don't have to deal with any of maintenance, property tax and insurance. All paid by tenant. While also protecting my initial principle if i ever decide to sell.

[superdog]

Originally Posted by jhilly8982

Are we due for a correction, sure 5%, 10%,? Probably, but I don't anticipate a 25% correction unless caused by a geo-political event or black swan.
Bull Market or Bear, those that have a plan will always make money.

Well two thoughts always cross my mind in times like these.
1. If it's in the news, it's in the price
2. Bad news is a headline while gradual improvement is not.

This is a good article:
http://www.mauldineconomics.com/the-...ntify-bubbles#

Also, I love this graphic:

Great response. Thank you.

Fwiw, I'm not planning on selling anything. I want to start buying!!

But of course, I want to buy low. I'm staying the course until there is a strong reason to do anything. But the only "anything" I plan to do is buy.

I would of absolutely prefer your thought process to hold true. Time will tell, but either way, I'm trying to be as prepared as possible. With all that is happening in the world today, I do see a big hit coming. But again, only time will tell.

[SpeedyTuomas]

Originally Posted by jhilly8982

Are we due for a correction, sure 5%, 10%,? Probably, but I don't anticipate a 25% correction unless caused by a geo-political event or black swan.
Bull Market or Bear, those that have a plan will always make money.

Well two thoughts always cross my mind in times like these.
1. If it's in the news, it's in the price
2. Bad news is a headline while gradual improvement is not.

This is a good article:
http://www.mauldineconomics.com/the-...ntify-bubbles#

Also, I love this graphic:

Thank you. This supports my Buy&Hold strategy..

[incontrol]

Great article. Thank you for posting it. ^^^^


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[beshannon]

Originally Posted by superdog

Curious as to your logic behind that?

History basically shows that it's all but guaranteed at some point.

Don't help me wrong, I do hope you are right.

It will snow at some point too but I am not selling my swimsuits to buy coats either.

[Etschell]

Yes but no one bought it all at the 09 low. Sirius xm was like 9 cents. Pier one was worthless.

Buy and hold is a great strategy but if you don't think the market can go down 40 percent from here you haven't been doing this long enough. It's simple retracement.

Any asset goes up over time except the value of a dollar or a commodity.

It usually goes down when you least expect it for a reason you couldbt anticipate. With margin debt at all time highs it only has one place to go if something causes a trigger. Also cash invested is at all time highs meaning very few big names have dry powder. They are simply hedging with options and short positions.

I'll give you an easy way to make money simply short any 3x leveraged fund when rsi is overbought. It always falls.

[superdog]

Originally Posted by beshannon

It will snow at some point too but I am not selling my swimsuits to buy coats either.

I'm not selling my trunks either.

But the seasons are a lot easier to predict, and to be prepared for.

I do get your point though, and happen to agree.

[superdog]

Originally Posted by Etschell

Yes but no one bought it all at the 09 low. Sirius xm was like 9 cents. Pier one was worthless.

Buy and hold is a great strategy but if you don't think the market can go down 40 percent from here you haven't been doing this long enough. It's simple retracement.

Any asset goes up over time except the value of a dollar or a commodity.

It usually goes down when you least expect it for a reason you couldbt anticipate. With margin debt at all time highs it only has one place to go if something causes a trigger. Also cash invested is at all time highs meaning very few big names have dry powder. They are simply hedging with options and short positions.

A severe drop is inevitable. It's only a matter of time.

Imho, that's the time to hold and buy.

[Runnin' Rebel]

Originally Posted by Etschell

Yes but no one bought it all at the 09 low. Sirius xm was like 9 cents. Pier one was worthless.

Buy and hold is a great strategy but if you don't think the market can go down 40 percent from here you haven't been doing this long enough. It's simple retracement.

Any asset goes up over time except the value of a dollar or a commodity.

It usually goes down when you least expect it for a reason you couldbt anticipate. With margin debt at all time highs it only has one place to go if something causes a trigger. Also cash invested is at all time highs meaning very few big names have dry powder. They are simply hedging with options and short positions.

Eliot..

What do you mean no one bought it all at the 09 low ?? Bought what ?

[Etschell]

Originally Posted by Runnin' Rebel

Eliot..

What do you mean no one bought it all at the 09 low ?? Bought what ?

No one put all their money in the market or s and p at the 2009 low in March. In order to return 257 percent you would have had to pull out before the crash then invest it all in March 2009 and never sell once.

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