the Coronavirus outbreak thread

[joeychitwood]

Originally Posted by Moggo

Why so much greater numbers than China though?

I don’t have a lot of confidence in the information out of China.

Originally Posted by 77T

If we have an outbreak in an understaffed area, they will be overwhelmed.

I live in a relatively poor area in Minnesota with a population of 25,000 There is a small number of very wealthy lakeshore residents and a large population of people living in poverty, as well as a large, poor Native American reservation. These are people with less access to information or the luxury to isolate for weeks. Our hospital can handle five ventilator patients at a time. A serious outbreak will certainly overwhelm the healthcare system here.

[77T]

Originally Posted by joeychitwood

I live in a relatively poor area in Minnesota with a population of 25,000 There is a small number of very wealthy lakeshore residents and a large population of people living in poverty, as well as a large, poor Native American reservation. These are people with less access to information or the luxury to isolate for weeks. Our hospital can handle five ventilator patients at a time. A serious outbreak will certainly overwhelm the healthcare system here.

Precisely - great example of how large number theory misses the fine points at points of service.

I don’t fault anyone here for using them. But the post that I challenged yesterday, however, said all beds were apparently full in USA. That’s unhelpful rumormongering.


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