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Old 29 January 2020, 02:51 AM   #1
SDR581
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CoronaVirus and Asian Market

So I was watching the news and was just wondering. Asia is such a huge market for Rolex. With so many cities limiting transport I wonder if Rolex temporarily shifts distribution to us folks here in the West Europe/USA.

Just thought its an interesting thought on economics.
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Old 29 January 2020, 02:53 AM   #2
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They already have
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Old 29 January 2020, 03:00 AM   #3
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Emmm I don't think so.
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Old 29 January 2020, 03:06 AM   #4
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Itís currently Chinese New Year in Asia.

All ADs i spoke to havenít received any stocks since before Christmas.

Expecting stocks to start arriving second half of Feb, most ADs are completely dry.


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Old 29 January 2020, 03:17 AM   #5
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BumbleB, Are you saying the east asian ADs have not had deliveries? Or that US ADs are on hold since deliveries are going to those in asia?
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Old 29 January 2020, 03:21 AM   #6
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Originally Posted by SDR581 View Post
So I was watching the news and was just wondering. Asia is such a huge market for Rolex. With so many cities limiting transport I wonder if Rolex temporarily shifts distribution to us folks here in the West Europe/USA.

Just thought its an interesting thought on economics.
Are you on a waiting list for a BLRO or Daytona or similar?
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Old 29 January 2020, 03:31 AM   #7
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CoronaVirus and Asian Market

Quote:
Originally Posted by charlie135 View Post
BumbleB, Are you saying the east asian ADs have not had deliveries? Or that US ADs are on hold since deliveries are going to those in asia?


Sorry, Iím based in Asia. So all the ADs I spoke to in Asia havenít received any stock from Rolex since Christmas.

Apparently Rolex shuts down every year around christmas and itís normal the ADs donít receive watches for a month, but this year itís compounded by Chinese New Year.

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Old 29 January 2020, 03:33 AM   #8
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Are you on a waiting list for a BLRO or Daytona or similar?

Actually I'm waiting for a BLRO or BLRN. My SA said he'll get me one sooner than later...But he knows the BLRO is my first choice.
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Old 29 January 2020, 03:45 AM   #9
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I just read an article on Bloomberg with regards to the impact this is having on Apple and their supply chain. Even at work I'm seeing delays from vendors.
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Old 29 January 2020, 03:47 AM   #10
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They are shutting down cities ports and trucking in certain areas... surely. The Chinese are not focus on buying watches.


Of course it’s going to hit demand. And also supply will back up here and I don’t mean grey dealer supply... aD’s will be getting more supply
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Old 29 January 2020, 04:03 AM   #11
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Originally Posted by SDR581 View Post
So I was watching the news and was just wondering. Asia is such a huge market for Rolex. With so many cities limiting transport I wonder if Rolex temporarily shifts distribution to us folks here in the West Europe/USA.

Just thought its an interesting thought on economics.
Why?

500K people will die worldwide from this years strain of influenza, What about Corona virus would make a manufacturer change business strategy?
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Old 29 January 2020, 04:15 AM   #12
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Originally Posted by SDR581 View Post
Actually I'm waiting for a BLRO or BLRN. My SA said he'll get me one sooner than later...But he knows the BLRO is my first choice.
So essentially are you hoping the unfortunate situation with the virus in China will increase your chances of getting the watch you desire sooner?
Is this the reason for your thread? Please elaborate.
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Old 29 January 2020, 04:25 AM   #13
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There was another thread about the same topic. I can't find it, though. I think it got infected with the stupidity virus.
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Old 29 January 2020, 04:28 AM   #14
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So essentially are you hoping the unfortunate situation with the virus in China will increase your chances of getting the watch you desire sooner?
Is this the reason for your thread? Please elaborate.
It was just a question regarding how the hobby is affected. Swiss watches are not made in China like many other things so they don't have the same manufacturing issues that many other companies will have.

As someone else pointed out....this years flu strain kills far more...but not getting the hype/reports that we see on the news. We are numb to it.

Markets are down, some other companies are notably affected with shipping/logistics.

Just because I happen to be on a waitlist for a hot model didn't I was hoping for more unfortunate souls in Asia to get a watch faster.
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Old 29 January 2020, 04:35 AM   #15
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There was another thread about the same topic. I can't find it, though. I think it got infected with the stupidity virus.
It was diverging off into the political so it was best it disappeared.
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Old 29 January 2020, 04:42 AM   #16
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It was diverging off into the political so it was best it disappeared.
That's what I thought. Not the best idea for a thread but what do I know.
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Old 29 January 2020, 04:53 AM   #17
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It was just a question regarding how the hobby is affected. Swiss watches are not made in China like many other things so they don't have the same manufacturing issues that many other companies will have.

As someone else pointed out....this years flu strain kills far more...but not getting the hype/reports that we see on the news. We are numb to it.

Markets are down, some other companies are notably affected with shipping/logistics.

Just because I happen to be on a waitlist for a hot model didn't I was hoping for more unfortunate souls in Asia to get a watch faster.
No insinuation meant. Was just a question.
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Old 29 January 2020, 04:57 AM   #18
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No insinuation meant. Was just a question.
NP. All good!!
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Old 29 January 2020, 04:59 AM   #19
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It'll definitely affect the Chinese market and in extension every other country....and besides watches, other commodities will be affected too...this is just sad
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Old 29 January 2020, 06:07 AM   #20
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These threads... It seems like everyday someone is bringing this up.

I should start a new one.

If you knew of a SS Daytona in the case at an AD in Wuhan would you fly in to get one?

Yes, I'm kidding.
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Old 29 January 2020, 06:49 AM   #21
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These threads... It seems like everyday someone is bringing this up.

I should start a new one.

If you knew of a SS Daytona in the case at an AD in Wuhan would you fly in to get one?

Yes, I'm kidding.
Daytona? No.

5726 in blue dial? Iíd be on the next flight. I might have to do a bit of 007 work to get it done...but no guts no glory.
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Old 29 January 2020, 07:10 AM   #22
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Daytona? No.



5726 in blue dial? Iíd be on the next flight. I might have to do a bit of 007 work to get it done...but no guts no glory.


I would be like Dustin Hoffman in Outbreak


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Old 29 January 2020, 07:11 AM   #23
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I would be like Dustin Hoffman in Outbreak


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Great movie reference!!!

Love that movie.
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Old 29 January 2020, 07:36 AM   #24
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China coronavirus: Misinformation spreads online about origin and scale
https://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-trending-51271037
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Old 29 January 2020, 10:30 AM   #25
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John Hopkins has a dashboard updated daily

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Old 29 January 2020, 06:13 PM   #26
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I posted this in another thread:
The mortality rate is in line with the influenza death rate in China (around 1.6-2.6%). There are currently around 1.2 billion people in China; that there currently just over 6,000 cases is statistically irrelevant. People should be concerned, but as of right now there is an overreaction. That it is Spring Festival made the situation worse. Arguably this is why the Chinese government imposed a lockdown on Wuhan etc. There will be a lot more cases and deaths (just like any major flu outbreak), but right now the level of paranoia and fear is quite breathtaking.

I will also add that most of the deaths have been to the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions. By way of comparison, there have been about 6,600 deaths due to influenza in the US this flu season. It is still early days and the death toll as a percentage may rise quite dramatically. Time will tell.
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Old 29 January 2020, 10:22 PM   #27
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I posted this in another thread:
The mortality rate is in line with the influenza death rate in China (around 1.6-2.6%). There are currently around 1.2 billion people in China; that there currently just over 6,000 cases is statistically irrelevant. People should be concerned, but as of right now there is an overreaction. That it is Spring Festival made the situation worse. Arguably this is why the Chinese government imposed a lockdown on Wuhan etc. There will be a lot more cases and deaths (just like any major flu outbreak), but right now the level of paranoia and fear is quite breathtaking.

I will also add that most of the deaths have been to the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions. By way of comparison, there have been about 6,600 deaths due to influenza in the US this flu season. It is still early days and the death toll as a percentage may rise quite dramatically. Time will tell.
But the incubation period takes longer so the cases take longer to show up
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Old 29 January 2020, 11:02 PM   #28
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@ Fat Ninja -- Can you share context as to what the red circles are and what their diameter signifies?

According to that map, a majority of China is "infected" and appears that approximately a 1/3rd of Myanmar, all of Singapore, and all of Bangkok is, too.

I'm not discrediting John Hopkins at all, but I am questioning the things that happen and the reactions we are looking for when we put huge red dots all over the map.

Last edited by Trailboss516; 29 January 2020 at 11:02 PM.. Reason: Clarifying my point
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Old 30 January 2020, 07:38 AM   #29
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@ Fat Ninja -- Can you share context as to what the red circles are and what their diameter signifies?

According to that map, a majority of China is "infected" and appears that approximately a 1/3rd of Myanmar, all of Singapore, and all of Bangkok is, too.

I'm not discrediting John Hopkins at all, but I am questioning the things that happen and the reactions we are looking for when we put huge red dots all over the map.
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/a...23467b48e9ecf6
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Old 30 January 2020, 08:17 AM   #30
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Thanks bro... and if u guys have google chrome. The Chinese links will translate into English for you
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