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Old 18 February 2023, 05:32 AM   #31
classicalthunder
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GB-man View Post
While true it all comes down to relationships. I know people who have received multiple desirable pieces in 12 months and others like me wait 2 years for anything and pray haha
right, this is an 'all things being equal' assumption model.
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Old 18 February 2023, 06:51 AM   #32
THE_FOOT
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Originally Posted by btwistround View Post
It's only Pragnells here in the UK. Stores in Stratford upon Avon and London.

Being the only AD, they can leverage this to their advantage and from what I've read about them from the forum, unless you are a heavy spender, you don't even get a look in.
They are no longer an FP AD.
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Old 18 February 2023, 08:02 AM   #33
Parapraxis
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I sketched out the math before when I went to visit the FP Journe boutique in NYC to put my name down for a CS, but roughly

- FPJ makes 900 watches a year and has 10 boutiques, so if all go to the boutiques (which it doesn't) that would be roughly 90 watches per year per boutique.

- FPJ has roughly 12 different watch "lines" if you're excluding special additions, so maybe each boutique gets 6-8 different watches per broad category (big assumption is that everything is produced in equal numbers, which it almost certainly isn't)

- so if you have 40 people (a low estimate) who are earnestly in line for a CS, then you're looking at roughly 5 years of waiting time.

All of that is assuming that everything goes to a boutique, which it doesn't, but I do imagine that the boutiques get priority world wide. So you'd need to trend those numbers down for ADs, especially if its something at the high end of the range
Wow when you do the math like that it goes to show you how few watches there really are coming to your local AD/boutique
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